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Is the Japanese yen decline over?

Summary:
Bank of Japan intervention not withstanding. The decline in the end will continue. 

Topics:
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Bank of Japan intervention not withstanding. The decline in the end will continue. 
Mike Norman
Mike Norman is an economist and veteran trader whose career has spanned over 30 years on Wall Street. He is a former member and trader on the CME, NYMEX, COMEX and NYFE and he managed money for one of the largest hedge funds and ran a prop trading desk for Credit Suisse.

15 comments

  1. @financeeconomics1057

    Makes sense, Japan is facing some long term challenges.

  2. Now I get it. Roll off is when they allow securities to stay* in the economy. So reducing the amount of roll off reduces the amount of interest payments the private sector receives. The zombies thought this was stimulative when its the exact opposite LOL Mike I can't thank you enough for sharing your understanding! This is hilarious xD

    • I just longed USD/JPY after the selling pressure has been exhausted and made a good trade on it. This rolling off reduction could drive bond yields lower.

    • @@gavinvan6131 good point, all else being equal the reduction in supply of gov securities in the private sector should drive yields lower in the bond market directly.

  3. @rugpullusa6686

    What online source do you use to track fiscal flows?

    • daily treasury statement. just google it and its the first result on the treasury departments website. Everyday they do a published report on the deposits and withrawals of the treasury general account.

  4. @eatlaughandstupid4430

    Mike you made the reverse repo too hard to understand. In June, The FED is adding less interest bearing assets into the economy right? Appreciate you Mike.

  5. I’m calling 160 the high for the yen for the next two years. Lets see…

  6. Current account stuff is a bit off. Japan has big current account surpluses still (not trade surplus though, it comes from primary incomes). Selling dollars doesnt effect the current account. Current account is like profits (it measure value change)not cashflows. If they buy back yen for dollars the current account balances them off and theres no net change.

  7. @mikechannel5026

    Best financial/investing channel on youtube if you ask me.

  8. @dangerzone007

    Everything is preceding as MMT has foreseen

  9. @yusufammar9562

    What do we think about ali baba ?

  10. @user-it1mc3nq7h

    ❤👁

  11. @cryptoniteclark

    14:40 Isn't it strange that COT Commercials are the longest they've been since 2013, and dumb money has been short all the way down?

  12. Appreciate you Mike. Making good money selling puts to these overly fearful zombies

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