by By New Deal democrat Q3 2018 update: “Kasriel Recession Warning Indicator” One of the methods I incorporate into my long leading indicators is the “Kasriel Recession Warning Indicator.” This is something I first read about in 2007, when the eponymous Paul Kasriel, then of Northern Trust and now of Legacy Private Trust Co., wrote that it forecast a recession within the next year. Needless to say, his call was on the mark! The indicator consists of a monetary and a yield curve component. Kasriel issued another forecast based on the model two months ago. I took a detailed look over at Seeking Alpha. As always, clicking over and reading should be worthwhile for you, and also for me by way of rewarding me for my efforts.
Topics:
Dan Crawford considers the following as important: Taxes/regulation, US/Global Economics
This could be interesting, too:
Angry Bear writes Geneva plans to pay NGO wages after US foreign aid freeze
Bill Haskell writes Industrial Policy
Angry Bear writes Inflation. How worried should we be?
Angry Bear writes Tariffs Driving Drug Prices Higher
by New Deal democrat
Q3 2018 update: “Kasriel Recession Warning Indicator”
One of the methods I incorporate into my long leading indicators is the “Kasriel Recession Warning Indicator.” This is something I first read about in 2007, when the eponymous Paul Kasriel, then of Northern Trust and now of Legacy Private Trust Co., wrote that it forecast a recession within the next year. Needless to say, his call was on the mark!
The indicator consists of a monetary and a yield curve component. Kasriel issued another forecast based on the model two months ago. I took a detailed look over at Seeking Alpha.
As always, clicking over and reading should be worthwhile for you, and also for me by way of rewarding me for my efforts.