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The Angry Bear

Are manufacturing and construction in a synchronous downturn? If so, that’s Trouble

– by New Deal democrat I wanted to follow up on a point I made yesterday: although manufacturing is no longer a big enough slice of the US economy to bring about an economic downturn on its own – unless for some reason the manufacturing downturn were unusually severe – when it is paired with a downturn in construction, that historically has been a reliable (but of course not perfect!) harbinger of recession. And while yesterday’s construction...

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“Did he lose the 2020 election?” and J.D. Vance Balks

This was the only question and answer that mattered. The Times and various other news outlets are elsewhere on the topic of losing the 2020 Election. I remember William Saletan writing articles for Slate Magazine “The Fray” while I was in the comments section reading them and then doodahman;s comments picking Saletan’s commentary apart. William is picking up on an important topic which The Times and other news outlets are purposely ignoring....

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Long COVID and chronic fatigue

The recurring bleat of vaccine denialists is that COVID should be addressed through “herd immunity.” Well, OK, a vaccinated population has herd immunity, but that’s not what they mean. They mean herd immunity in the sense of the Black Plague—the people who didn’t die were immune.Apart from all the deaths caused by COVID infections in unvaccinated people, there’s the issue of long COVID. While its etiology is poorly understood, its reality is certain....

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Making AZ Elections Fair Act is in Trouble

I am not sure I would call this similar to Chicago politics. Which is something I lived with or observed for a number of years. It is a bit of crooked mixed with a bit of silly. Read on . . . Low move by high court may nullify Arizona votes on Make Elections Fair Act, AZCentral The Make Elections Fair Act would flush Arizona’s partisan primary election system down the toilet. It will be on the ballot in November. And we all will vote on...

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Evidence Shows Minimum Wage Increases Will Cause Job Losses is Largely Wrong-Headed

Largely speaking direct labor is not the issue of costs have I have presented in another post. It is the overhead such as healthcare insurance which can better handled in another manner. Inflation grows and minimum wage income is stagnant. Studies have found little or no job loss due to Minimum Wage Laws, Economic Policy Institute There is always political heat around minimum wage increases, largely driven by concerns about job losses. The...

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Who Voted Against FEMA Relief Before Helene Battered Their Home States

As Category 4 Hurricane Helene approached the Florida Panhandle, a number of Republican senators and representatives voted against supplementing disaster relief in a government funding extension which was passed by both houses of Congress. Many of the Republican lawmakers voted against the provision of additional necessary funding to the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) represent states that were hit particularly hard by Hurricane...

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The Achilles Trap

I just finished reading “The Achilles Trap: Saddam Hussein, the C.I.A., and the Origins of America’s Invasion of Iraq” by Steve Coll. By the onset of the US invasion and military occupation, I was convinced that (a) Iraq had no WMDs or active WMD programs, and (b) there was no collusion between Saddam and al Qaeda. The idea that Osama bin Laden and Saddam Hussein were allies was facially absurd. Bin Laden was a religious zealot and Hussein was...

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Walz v Vance Debate

Another take on J.D,’s and Tim’s debate last night. Tim came off the line rather slow last night. This is like the gearing in some automobiles where you are slow off the line and gain greater speed as you go along. It was pretty clear Tim owned J.D. at the end. Will it change votes, probably not. “A man hears what he wants to hear and disregards the rest.” Joyce Vance at Civil Discourse. Walz versus Vance Governor Walz seemed nervous...

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New Georgia Law Spurs Bogus Challenges to Voter Eligibility

In addition to what you will hopefully read below. Repubs and Dems went to court and presented their reasoning for and against new laws allowing for a “reasonable inquiry” to be conducted before election certification and gives election workers the ability to “to examine all election related documentation created during the conduct of elections.”  You can surmise who was for and against this.. New Georgia Law Spurs Bogus Challenges to Voter...

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Vance’s big lie on the ACA

by Merrill Goozner GoozNews Obamacare (ACA) coverage fell every year of the Trump presidency and the uninsured rate rose. The truth in one chart. Trump’s vice presidential pick J.D. Vance asserted during tonight’s debate that the former president “strengthened” the Affordable Care Act. In fact, he weakened it in a variety of ways, which I (Merrill) discussed in this article Health care at risk. If you look closely at the blue bars...

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