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Mike Norman Economics

William Mitchell — Japan has lower inflation, no currency crisis and its citizens are better off as a result of the monetary-fiscal policy initiatives

The – Washington Consensus – has been out in full force this week with the US Federal Reserve and the RBA increasing interest rates further despite all the indications that inflation peaked months ago and its downward trajectory has had little if anything to do with the ridiculous interest rate rises since early 2022. Both banks, along with most other central banks, are just thumbing through the New Keynesian textbook to get their direction and pretending to be capable of assessing the...

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Geopolitical update

Russia is taking the gloves off as the US/NATO continues poking into the bear's lair.Global SouthPatrushev: Interview with Isvestia [Important. It explains why the Russian leadership views the conflict in Ukraine and the actions of NATO as actually between the US and Russia over Russia continued existence. Therefore, it is existential for both since this puts the US at risk of destruction also. It can easily lead to WWIII and a strategic nuclear exchange. For example, there have been two...

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William Mitchell — RBA loses the plot–Treasurer should use powers under the Act to suspend the RBA Board’s decision making discretion

It’s Wednesday, and we have a few observations on recent events including a music feature. But the main issue in the last 24 hours is the decision by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) to add an 11th interest rate increase at a time when inflation is falling significantly. As I noted last week, the narrative is now shifting among these characters – it is all about inflation not falling ‘fast enough’ and they still claim a wages explosion is likely unless they get inflation down more...

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Links — 2 Mat 2023

RT — Question More (Russian state-sponsored media)The British are showing signs of goodwill to China, but they aren't the ones calling the shots [Like the French and Germans, the British are calculating the economic cost of decoupling from China. The US apparently hasn't done the math yet.]Timur FomenkoIndia PunchlineWhither Ukraine’s counteroffensive? [MKB argues that apparently some in the US deep state are fed up with the Biden administration's costly foreign policy and military policy...

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Japan “inflation!”

They’ve had zero or negative rates for like the last 25 years … but watch NOW the Art degree morons are going to say the zero interest rates caused their figure of speech “inflation!”… lock it…Breaking: Tokyo inflation comes at a FILTHY 3.8%, above virtually every single forecast. Core, core inflation hits 41-year high pic.twitter.com/77zvKUQalD— David Ingles (@DavidInglesTV) April 27, 2023

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Another Bank Bites The Dust — Brian Romanchuk

 First Republic Bank was forced into a take over by J.P. Morgan Chase, and was yet another Californian victim of bad banking risk management. My bias was that First Republic was not large enough to worry about, so I cannot offer any insights into the event. My main complaint is that this appears to be another bank that blew itself up with interest rate risk, which makes my life of writing a banking primer more difficult. I had always made allowances for bad bank risk management in the United...

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De-dollarization is about more than currencies: As dollar system declines, what comes next? — Radhika Desai and Michael Hudson

 RADHIKA DESAI: Hi everyone, welcome to this eighth Geopolitical Economy Hour,…. And this will be the fourth and final show on de-dollarization....Video and transcript.Geopolitical Economy ReportDe-dollarization is about more than currencies: As dollar system declines, what comes next?Radhika Desai and Michael HudsonCrossposted at Michael Hudson's blog with the title "The QE Quandry"

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William Mitchell — A debt jubilee is the only way low-income nations will escape the penury of debt distress (and the IMF/World Bank)

There is something deeply wrong with the world under Capitalism when the poorest countries in the world pay more out on debt servicing to loans that the wealthy countries have provided than they do on maintaining their health care services. I have been examining data derived from the World Bank WDI database and the IMF WEO database pertaining to the debt sustainability of the poorest nations in the world. Using 2019 data (most recent) 64 nations, for which coherent data is available, spend...

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