Steve Keen’s Debt Watch

My speech and Ann Pettifor's speech at the launch of the 2nd edition of Debunking Economics, at the University College London on October 4 2011. I give an overview of the new edition, which focuses on the absurd state of neoclassical macroeconomic theory and the reasons that conventional economists were the last people on the planet to realize that a serious economic crisis was about to occur. I also outline my "Monetary Circuit Theory" approach that let me anticipate the crisis. Ann...

A video of the inspiration behind the Minsky program, whose development is being funded by the Institute for New Economic Thinking.

The fact that Australia didn't experience a bad recession during the GFC is sometimes attributed to its better regulatory system. It would be a miracle were that true, since the Wallis Committee and all government interventions up until 2008 were done to reduce regulation, not strengthen it.

Endogenous money is an established empirical fact, but a seriously underdeveloped concept in economics. In this lecture I cover some of the foundational disputes that marked the development of the concept, and then introduce Graziani's brilliant concept of the Monetary Circuit as a foundation for a monetary model of capitalism.

Though the basic ideas of the Monetary Circuit are brilliant, when it came to turning these into a model of the monetary circuit, the Circuitists made numerous errors that were the result of them not knowing how to model a dynamic process. I outline these errors and then introduce the basic tool of dynamic modelling, the differential equation.

Excellent wide-ranging interview by Peter Switzer (www.switzer.com.au) on Sky Business News about the financial crisis, who predicted it and how, and what the prospects are for the global and Australian economies and the Australian housing market.

Given how appallingly bad neoclassical economics is, an alternative economics that is at least roughly capable of reproducing the actual performance of the economy is badly needed. One of the best studies of the empirical data about the economy was ironically undertaken by the two neoclassical economists who developed Real Business Cycle theory, Kydland and Prescott. This lecture reports their findings, focusing on the conclusion that "credit should play a larger role" in future analysis of...

One year after the start of the greatest economic crisis since the Great Depression, the editor of the American Economic Review: Macroeconomics claimed that "the state of macro [theory] is good". How could be be so deluded? Macroeconomics has been distorted by appalling scholarship and a misguided belief that macroeconomics and microeconomics should be consistent. The best critics of this, ironically, are given by the authors most responsible for the state of macroeconomics, John Hicks and...

In this second half of the lecture, I outline the Fractal Markets Hypothesis and the Inefficient Markets Hypothesis (IEH). The IEH suggests precisely the opposite investment strategy to the EMH on how to maximize returns on the stock market: invest in low volatility, high Book to Market stocks.

The Fractal Markets Hypothesis and the Inefficient Markets Hypothesis are two of several attempts to provide a realistic theory of how finance markets actually behave. In this first half of the lecture, I explain what a fractal is, and discuss their basic characteristics.