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The Effect of Minimum Wages on Low-Wage Jobs

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The Effect of Minimum Wages on Low-Wage Jobs The figure shows the effect of an average minimum wage increase on the wage distribution at each wage level relative to the minimum wage. Minimum wage increases led to a clear reduction in jobs below the new minimum wage, confirming that the minimum wages we study are binding. The reduction in jobs paying below the minimum was balanced by a sharp increase in the number of jobs paying at the new minimum, along with additional increases in jobs paying up to above the new minimum. As the figure also shows, we found virtually no change in employment higher up in the wage distribution even up to the highest wage level. Estimates of the change in jobs five years after a change in the minimum wage, as a share of

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The Effect of Minimum Wages on Low-Wage Jobs

The Effect of Minimum Wages on Low-Wage JobsThe figure shows the effect of an average minimum wage increase on the wage distribution at each wage level relative to the minimum wage. Minimum wage increases led to a clear reduction in jobs below the new minimum wage, confirming that the minimum wages we study are binding. The reduction in jobs paying below the minimum was balanced by a sharp increase in the number of jobs paying at the new minimum, along with additional increases in jobs paying up to $5 above the new minimum. As the figure also shows, we found virtually no change in employment higher up in the wage distribution even up to the highest wage level. Estimates of the change in jobs five years after a change in the minimum wage, as a share of total employment before the increase. Overall, then, low-wage workers saw a wage gain of 7 percent after a minimum wage increase, but little change in employment.

D. Cengiz, A. Dube, A. Lindner, and B. Zipperer

Lo and behold — doesn’t an increase in the minimum wage reduce employment? That’s what we’ve all read in our textbooks. But the answer is no! Although there are a few studies that come up with another answer, the overwhelming evidence shows​ that the employment effects are at most minimal.

Lars Pålsson Syll
Professor at Malmö University. Primary research interest - the philosophy, history and methodology of economics.

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