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Edward Harrison — What is pro-cyclical fiscal policy?

Summary:
Economists often point out that, when spending and output growth in the private sector is moving really fast either up or down, the government can offset this. This fiscal offset can act as a stabilizing force in that it prevents the economy from overheating when private sector growth is running hot, It can also prevent a depression when private sector spending and output is collapsing. But sometimes, governments choose to mimic the private sector and amplify the trend in the economy. This is called pro-cyclicality – and in worst case scenarios, it can be quite destabilizing.... Credit Writedowns What is pro-cyclical fiscal policy? Edward Harrison

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Economists often point out that, when spending and output growth in the private sector is moving really fast either up or down, the government can offset this. This fiscal offset can act as a stabilizing force in that it prevents the economy from overheating when private sector growth is running hot, It can also prevent a depression when private sector spending and output is collapsing. But sometimes, governments choose to mimic the private sector and amplify the trend in the economy. This is called pro-cyclicality – and in worst case scenarios, it can be quite destabilizing....
Credit Writedowns
What is pro-cyclical fiscal policy?
Edward Harrison
Mike Norman
Mike Norman is an economist and veteran trader whose career has spanned over 30 years on Wall Street. He is a former member and trader on the CME, NYMEX, COMEX and NYFE and he managed money for one of the largest hedge funds and ran a prop trading desk for Credit Suisse.

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