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Steve Keen – Manchester 2019 The Magnificent Failure of Neoclassical Economics

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[embedded content] Virtually every time Neoclassical Economists explored the stability of an equilibrium in one of their models, they found it was unstable. How did they react to this discovery? By either ignoring it, or by using elaborate workarounds to avoid it. In the process, their analysis has gone from Walras' original vision of a simple price adjustment process which could lead to all markets being in equilibrium at once, with agents knowing only their own tastes, their existing stocks of different commodities, and current prices, to a world inhabited by so-called "rational agents", where the definition of "rational" is effectively "has the capacity to accurately predict the future". For economics to progress, the equilibrium fetish of Neoclassical Economics has to be abandoned.

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Virtually every time Neoclassical Economists explored the stability of an equilibrium in one of their models, they found it was unstable. How did they react to this discovery? By either ignoring it, or by using elaborate workarounds to avoid it. In the process, their analysis has gone from Walras' original vision of a simple price adjustment process which could lead to all markets being in equilibrium at once, with agents knowing only their own tastes, their existing stocks of different commodities, and current prices, to a world inhabited by so-called "rational agents", where the definition of "rational" is effectively "has the capacity to accurately predict the future". For economics to progress, the equilibrium fetish of Neoclassical Economics has to be abandoned. It is possible today to model capitalism as a dynamic, far-from-equilibrium, complex system that it a far better description of what it actually is.

Mike Norman
Mike Norman is an economist and veteran trader whose career has spanned over 30 years on Wall Street. He is a former member and trader on the CME, NYMEX, COMEX and NYFE and he managed money for one of the largest hedge funds and ran a prop trading desk for Credit Suisse.

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