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Trump has badly misread China’s hand

Summary:
This guy gets it wrong about printing money and the national debt (another video), but this is very interesting: US companies do very well in China selling a lot of services, which almost counters the trade imbalance.Donald Trump has been dialing up the tariffs and the rhetoric around the ongoing trade spat with China. Yet Xi Jingping has held a firm line and has been unwilling to fold to increasing pressure from the US. Donald Amstad from Aberdeen Standard Investments believes that Trump may have misread how strong China's hand is by overlooking some key inputs to the trade relationship between the two countries. While most of the focus has been on traded goods Amstad says to get the full picture you also need to take into consideration the value of services and the profits earned by

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This guy gets it wrong about printing money and the national debt (another video), but this is very interesting: US companies do very well in China selling a lot of services, which almost counters the trade imbalance.

Donald Trump has been dialing up the tariffs and the rhetoric around the ongoing trade spat with China. Yet Xi Jingping has held a firm line and has been unwilling to fold to increasing pressure from the US. Donald Amstad from Aberdeen Standard Investments believes that Trump may have misread how strong China's hand is by overlooking some key inputs to the trade relationship between the two countries. While most of the focus has been on traded goods Amstad says to get the full picture you also need to take into consideration the value of services and the profits earned by US companies operating in China. As he outlines in this short video Trump may have badly misread China’s hand. “In China there is no political cycle. President Trump has got 15 months to sort this out before he faces re-election. So, time is very much on China’s side.”


Mike Norman
Mike Norman is an economist and veteran trader whose career has spanned over 30 years on Wall Street. He is a former member and trader on the CME, NYMEX, COMEX and NYFE and he managed money for one of the largest hedge funds and ran a prop trading desk for Credit Suisse.

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