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Bill Mitchell — Government goes missing in the European Union

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On Tuesday (June 9, 2020), Eurostat published the March-quarter national accounts data for the EU and the Eurozone – GDP down by 3.6% and employment down by 0.2% in the euro area – which revealed that the decline in GDP “were the sharpest declines observed since time series started in 1995”. Of course, Europe went into this crisis in poor shape. Eurostat noted that “In the fourth quarter of 2019, GDP had grown by 0.1% in both the euro area and the EU.” So it was barely crawling anyway due to the austerity bias that is built into the monetary system. The larger Member States such as France and Italy (-5.3 per cent) and Spain (-5.2 per cent) are in terrible shape. In the last few weeks, we have been hearing and reading a lot of hype from European politicians about ‘Hamilton moments’ as

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On Tuesday (June 9, 2020), Eurostat published the March-quarter national accounts data for the EU and the Eurozone – GDP down by 3.6% and employment down by 0.2% in the euro area – which revealed that the decline in GDP “were the sharpest declines observed since time series started in 1995”. Of course, Europe went into this crisis in poor shape. Eurostat noted that “In the fourth quarter of 2019, GDP had grown by 0.1% in both the euro area and the EU.” So it was barely crawling anyway due to the austerity bias that is built into the monetary system. The larger Member States such as France and Italy (-5.3 per cent) and Spain (-5.2 per cent) are in terrible shape. In the last few weeks, we have been hearing and reading a lot of hype from European politicians about ‘Hamilton moments’ as various euro figures are bandied around about government support for the European economy. Emma Clancy’s article (June 6, 2020) – Behind the Spin on the EU’s Recovery Plan – is sobering if you are drunk on all the Euro elite hype. There isn’t really a recovery plan at all nor any significant shift in attitudes towards creating a functional federation, the only structure that will see Europe break free of this austerity bias. And as I examined the Eurostat data in more detail something very stark was apparent.
The history of Europe has been one of conflict that can be traced back to the tribal era, which was not all that long ago. It was in place when the Romans conquered the territory and brought civilization. Those tribal ethnicities are still operative.

The most recent history has been one not of federation but of the breaking up of federations. The USSR is the chief example, but previous to that the Austrian Empire that extended over most of Eastern Europe up to Russia's border at the time. More recently, Yugoslavia was de-federated and Czechoslovakia, too.

This is very much different from the United States at the time of Independence. There was a common language and a mostly common heritage, chiefly British.

In contrast, Europe is divided not only by ethnicity but also language and cultures. The unifying factors seem to be Greek thought, Roman organization. If there was a loose federation it was as Christendom. And the UK as already exited the EU after not having joined the EZ in the first place.

So far the foundation for federation is lacking and economics and finance are insufficient to provide it, especially when they are under elite control, with elites pursuing their own class interests.

Talk of "the European community" seems premature.

Bill Mitchell – billy blog
Government goes missing in the European Union
Bill Mitchell | Professor in Economics and Director of the Centre of Full Employment and Equity (CofFEE), at University of Newcastle, NSW, Australia
Mike Norman
Mike Norman is an economist and veteran trader whose career has spanned over 30 years on Wall Street. He is a former member and trader on the CME, NYMEX, COMEX and NYFE and he managed money for one of the largest hedge funds and ran a prop trading desk for Credit Suisse.

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