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Links — 22 Jan 2022 PM Updated

Summary:
Gilbert Doctorow — International relations, Russian affairs (excellent analysis by a Russian speaker.)Blinken and Lavrov meeting in Geneva: two steps forward and one step backGilbert Doctorowhttps://gilbertdoctorow.com/2022/01/22/blinken-and-lavrov-meeting-in-geneva-two-steps-forward-and-one-step-back/Sputnik International (note that this is the US negotiating for Europe instead of Europe for itself.  Qatar: difficult to make up for Russian gas. If Russian energy becomes unavailable, prices will rise.)US Reportedly Negotiates LNG Supplies to Europe With Qatar to Cut EU's Dependency on Russian Gashttps://sputniknews.com/20220122/us-reportedly-negotiates-lng-supplies-to-europe-with-qatar-to-cut-eus-dependency-on-russian-gas-1092452938.htmlGlobal Inequality (WWI and today, "If we were to

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Gilbert Doctorow — International relations, Russian affairs (excellent analysis by a Russian speaker.)
Blinken and Lavrov meeting in Geneva: two steps forward and one step back
Gilbert Doctorow
https://gilbertdoctorow.com/2022/01/22/blinken-and-lavrov-meeting-in-geneva-two-steps-forward-and-one-step-back/

Sputnik International (note that this is the US negotiating for Europe instead of Europe for itself.  Qatar: difficult to make up for Russian gas. If Russian energy becomes unavailable, prices will rise.)
US Reportedly Negotiates LNG Supplies to Europe With Qatar to Cut EU's Dependency on Russian Gas
https://sputniknews.com/20220122/us-reportedly-negotiates-lng-supplies-to-europe-with-qatar-to-cut-eus-dependency-on-russian-gas-1092452938.html

Global Inequality (WWI and today, "If we were to replace Britain and Germany ... by US and China today we would not be very much remiss." Britain began prepping for war with Germany in 1905. History rhyming?)
Free trade and war
Branko Milanovic | Visiting Presidential Professor at City University of New York Graduate Center and senior scholar at the Stone Center on Socio-economic Inequality, senior scholar at the Luxembourg Income Study (LIS), and formerly lead economist in the World Bank's research department and senior associate at Carnegie Endowment for International Peace
https://branko2f7.substack.com/p/free-trade-and-war

Zero Hedge (safe haven like gold or risk asset with high volatility?)
Fear And Panic As Bitcoin Crashes 50% From All Time High
Tyler Durden
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/jan/22/confusion-over-uk-claim-that-putin-plans-coup-in-ukraine

Deutsche Welle (that didn't take long. Realism not allowed.)
German navy chief Schönbach resigns over comments on Putin, Crimea
https://www.dw.com/en/german-navy-chief-sch%C3%B6nbach-resigns-over-comments-on-putin-crimea/a-60525709?maca=en-rss-en-all-1573-rdf

The Guardian (the article shoots it down.)
Confusion over UK claim that Putin plans coup in Ukraine
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/jan/22/confusion-over-uk-claim-that-putin-plans-coup-in-ukraine

The Independent (looks like another excuse to blame Russia for reacting militarily to a Ukrainian offense against Donbas. Ukraine put ~120k troops at the line of control months ago and Russia responded with the buildup that now is being claimed is a preparation for Russian invasion.)
Kim Sengupta
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/europe/ukraine-russia-invasion-uk-b1998695.html

Sputnik International (interestingly, this actually what happened when the West overthrew the democratically elected president of Ukraine in 2014 and installed a puppet government.)
Russian Foreign Ministry Blasts 'Nonsense' UK Claims That Moscow Sought Puppet Gov in Ukraine
https://sputniknews.com/20220122/russian-foreign-ministry-blasts-nonsense-uk-claims-that-moscow-sought-puppet-gov-in-ukraine-1092457170.html

TASS (some analysts think that the West will make a move during the Olympics as it has in the past, perhaps while Putin is in China. It's part of the playbook. Ukraine is set on taking the Donbas by force and the West appears to be behind it.)
Chinese embassy in Russia calls [Bloomberg] publication about [Xi] "request not to invade Ukraine" a hoax
https://tass.com/world/1391929

Turcopiler ("IMO, the 'Russian Build Up' story is rubbish." "Rubbish" = disinformation)
An Amateur Look At “Russian Build Up” Photographic Evidence By Walrus
https://turcopolier.com/an-amateur-look-at-russian-build-up-photographic-evidence-by-walrus/

Defend Democracy
Russian Foreign Ministry slams US ‘report’ on Kremlin’s Ukraine policy as provocation
http://www.defenddemocracy.press/russian-foreign-ministry-slams-us-report-on-kremlins-ukraine-policy-as-provocation/

Ukrainian opposition party branded US sanctions against its members as ‘political terror’

http://www.defenddemocracy.press/ukrainian-opposition-party-branded-us-sanctions-against-its-members-as-political-terror/

Mike Norman
Mike Norman is an economist and veteran trader whose career has spanned over 30 years on Wall Street. He is a former member and trader on the CME, NYMEX, COMEX and NYFE and he managed money for one of the largest hedge funds and ran a prop trading desk for Credit Suisse.

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