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Credit check, Atlanta Fed

Summary:
Still decelerating, and data releases seem to confirm that the credit deceleration is reflecting something similar in the macro economy: Annual growth is down to about 1.5%: This would have been maybe 0 billion higher if it had not decelerated: Housing and cars contribution to growth also looking a lot lower than last year: This chart is only through year end. It’s since decelerated as per the above current charts. Note how the downturn in credit growth tends to lead recessions: And forecasts for last quarter, Q2, continue to fall:

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Still decelerating, and data releases seem to confirm that the credit deceleration is reflecting something similar in the macro economy:

Credit check, Atlanta Fed
Annual growth is down to about 1.5%:

Credit check, Atlanta Fed
This would have been maybe $500 billion higher if it had not decelerated:

Credit check, Atlanta Fed

Credit check, Atlanta Fed
Housing and cars contribution to growth also looking a lot lower than last year:

Credit check, Atlanta Fed

Credit check, Atlanta Fed

Credit check, Atlanta Fed

Credit check, Atlanta Fed

Credit check, Atlanta Fed
This chart is only through year end. It’s since decelerated as per the above current charts. Note how the downturn in credit growth tends to lead recessions:

Credit check, Atlanta Fed
And forecasts for last quarter, Q2, continue to fall:

Credit check, Atlanta Fed

WARREN MOSLER
Warren Mosler is an American economist and theorist, and one of the leading voices in the field of Modern Monetary Theory (MMT). Presently, Warren resides on St. Croix, in the US Virgin Islands, where he owns and operates Valance Co., Inc.

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