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US PMI’s, KC Fed, Euro area services, UK services, Germany services and GDP

Summary:
Tariffs taking their toll and no end in sight as global deceleration continues for both goods and services. These surveys are up a bit this month but still very low and too soon to suggest a reversal: Note how this blipped up last month but then resumed the downtrend: Deceleration resumes after a small blip up last month: Germany Private Sector Contracts for 3rd Month The IHS Markit Germany Composite PMI increased to 49.2 in November 2019 from 48.9 in the previous month and below market expectations of 49.4, preliminary estimates showed. Still, it is the third consecutive month of contraction in the private sector, as manufacturing output continued to shrink and services activity growth slowed to a 38-month low. New orders went down for the fifth straight month while

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Tariffs taking their toll and no end in sight as global deceleration continues for both goods and services.

These surveys are up a bit this month but still very low and too soon to suggest a reversal:

US PMI’s, KC Fed, Euro area services, UK services, Germany services and GDP

US PMI’s, KC Fed, Euro area services, UK services, Germany services and GDP

Note how this blipped up last month but then resumed the downtrend:

US PMI’s, KC Fed, Euro area services, UK services, Germany services and GDP
Deceleration resumes after a small blip up last month:

US PMI’s, KC Fed, Euro area services, UK services, Germany services and GDP

US PMI’s, KC Fed, Euro area services, UK services, Germany services and GDP

Germany Private Sector Contracts for 3rd Month

The IHS Markit Germany Composite PMI increased to 49.2 in November 2019 from 48.9 in the previous month and below market expectations of 49.4, preliminary estimates showed. Still, it is the third consecutive month of contraction in the private sector, as manufacturing output continued to shrink and services activity growth slowed to a 38-month low. New orders went down for the fifth straight month while exports orders decreased at softer pace. Job creation was virtually unchanged after falling in October for the first time in six years. Also, lower backlogs of work were reported for the thirteenth month running. In terms of prices, output charge inflation was modest, staying close to October’s 38-month low. Meanwhile, expectations towards output in the next 12 months turned positive for the first time in four months.

US PMI’s, KC Fed, Euro area services, UK services, Germany services and GDP

WARREN MOSLER
Warren Mosler is an American economist and theorist, and one of the leading voices in the field of Modern Monetary Theory (MMT). Presently, Warren resides on St. Croix, in the US Virgin Islands, where he owns and operates Valance Co., Inc.

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