A couple of weeks ago, my old shower broke down, needing replacement. Chatting to bathroom-kitchen store manager, I learnt that business was brisk for them, especially the demand for new bathrooms. In fact, very brisk. Lots of people wanting new bathrooms for their holiday to-be-let homes, with higher rents in mind, as well as for actually lived-in homes. His order book is far stronger than in ‘normal’ times. For those who ‘have’, the times are not – financially speaking – bad at all. All...
Read More »After the furlough ‘tide’ recedes?
Is our biggest worry inflation? No, our biggest worry is a fall in employment, investment and income. Inflation is caused by the economy ‘overheating’. Wage and price inflation arises when economic activity (investment, employment, income) exceeds the capacity of the economy. Put simply, inflation most often arises in conditions of full employment, when incomes are high and rising and when investment in new jobs, speculation and the creation of new assets, surges. Many point to the 1970s...
Read More »After the furlough ‘tide’ recedes?
Is our biggest worry inflation? No, our biggest worry is a fall in employment, investment and income.Inflation is caused by the economy ‘overheating’. Wage and price inflation arises when economic activity (investment, employment, income) exceeds the capacity of the economy. Put simply, inflation most often arises in conditions of full employment, when incomes are high and rising and when investment in new jobs, speculation and the creation of new assets, surges. Many point to the 1970s as...
Read More »After the furlough ‘tide’ recedes?
Is our biggest worry inflation? No, our biggest worry is a fall in employment, investment and income.Inflation is caused by the economy ‘overheating’. Wage and price inflation arises when economic activity (investment, employment, income) exceeds the capacity of the economy. Put simply, inflation most often arises in conditions of full employment, when incomes are high and rising and when investment in new jobs, speculation and the creation of new assets, surges. Many point to the 1970s as...
Read More »Billionaires & the pandemic: in happy alignment
There are two global forces positively thriving – despite today’s crises. They are the lethal coronavirus and the world’s billionaires – engaged in a form of ‘co-production’. Why are they thriving? And why do their interests align so happily? The ‘interests’ of a lethal virus are clear. The microbe’s supreme ambition is to spread as fast as possible, infect millions of humans, accelerate the process of transmission and evolve into a global pandemic. Never mind the consequences. How can this...
Read More »Billionaires & the pandemic: in happy alignment
There are two global forces positively thriving – despite today’s crises. They are the lethal coronavirus and the world’s billionaires – engaged in a form of ‘co-production’. Why are they thriving? And why do their interests align so happily?The ‘interests’ of a lethal virus are clear. The microbe’s supreme ambition is to spread as fast as possible, infect millions of humans, accelerate the process of transmission and evolve into a global pandemic.Never mind the consequences.How can this...
Read More »Billionaires & the pandemic: in happy alignment
There are two global forces positively thriving – despite today’s crises. They are the lethal coronavirus and the world’s billionaires – engaged in a form of ‘co-production’. Why are they thriving? And why do their interests align so happily?The ‘interests’ of a lethal virus are clear. The microbe’s supreme ambition is to spread as fast as possible, infect millions of humans, accelerate the process of transmission and evolve into a global pandemic.Never mind the consequences.How can this...
Read More »GDP, Brexit & the trade winds of change
In 2020, GDP per head of population fell, year on year, by a massive 10.5%. For me, that’s the take-away statistic from last Friday’s GDP-related ‘data dump’ by ONS. The level of GCDP per head (in real, inflation-adjusted terms) was £29,124. This was almost identical to the level in 2009 (£29,098), at the peak of the global financial crisis, and otherwise the lowest on record since 2003. Of course, the extent of the decline is heavily down to the government’s first lockdown...
Read More »GDP, Brexit & the trade winds of change
In 2020, GDP per head of population fell, year on year, by a massive 10.5%. For me, that’s the take-away statistic from last Friday’s GDP-related ‘data dump’ by ONS. The level of GCDP per head (in real, inflation-adjusted terms) was £29,124. This was almost identical to the level in 2009 (£29,098), at the peak of the global financial crisis, and otherwise the lowest on record since 2003. Of course, the extent of the decline is heavily down to the government’s first lockdown restrictions,...
Read More »GDP, Brexit & the trade winds of change
In 2020, GDP per head of population fell, year on year, by a massive 10.5%. For me, that’s the take-away statistic from last Friday’s GDP-related ‘data dump’ by ONS. The level of GCDP per head (in real, inflation-adjusted terms) was £29,124. This was almost identical to the level in 2009 (£29,098), at the peak of the global financial crisis, and otherwise the lowest on record since 2003. Of course, the extent of the decline is heavily down to the government’s first lockdown restrictions,...
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