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India’s Inclusion in the JP Morgan GBI-EM (bond) Indices

A Path to Eden or Just Another Sin?Güney Düzçay and T. Sabri ÖncüThis article first appeared in the 24 November 2023 issue of the Indian journal, Economic and Political Weekly.IntroductionThe concept of “original sin” was introduced by Eichengreen and Hausmann (1999), defining it as “a situation in which the domestic currency cannot be used to borrow abroad or to borrow long term, even domestically.” Subsequently, Eichengreen et al. (2003) redefined the concept as a country’s inability to...

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India’s Inclusion in the JP Morgan GBI-EM (bond) Indices

A Path to Eden or Just Another Sin? Güney Düzçay and T. Sabri Öncü This article first appeared in the 24 November 2023 issue of the Indian journal, Economic and Political Weekly. Introduction The concept of “original sin” was introduced by Eichengreen and Hausmann (1999), defining it as “a situation in which the domestic currency cannot be used to borrow abroad or to borrow long term, even domestically.” Subsequently, Eichengreen et al. (2003) redefined the concept as a country’s inability...

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India’s Inclusion in the JP Morgan GBI-EM (bond) Indices

A Path to Eden or Just Another Sin?Güney Düzçay and T. Sabri ÖncüThis article first appeared in the 24 November 2023 issue of the Indian journal, Economic and Political Weekly.IntroductionThe concept of “original sin” was introduced by Eichengreen and Hausmann (1999), defining it as “a situation in which the domestic currency cannot be used to borrow abroad or to borrow long term, even domestically.” Subsequently, Eichengreen et al. (2003) redefined the concept as a country’s inability to...

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Monetary Policy Debates in the Age of Deglobalisation: the Turkish Experiment – III

A slightly edited version of this article first appeared in the Economic and Political Weekly on 22 July 2023.Summary: This article is the third and last in a series of articles on monetary policy debates in the age in which deglobalisation became a buzzword. Here, we continue our discussion of the ongoing Turkish monetary policy experiment by focusing on macroprudential measures, capital controls and central bank independence, as promised in the first article, as an example of these...

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Monetary Policy Debates in the Age of Deglobalisation: the Turkish Experiment – III

A slightly edited version of this article first appeared in the Economic and Political Weekly on 22 July 2023. Summary: This article is the third and last in a series of articles on monetary policy debates in the age in which deglobalisation became a buzzword. Here, we continue our discussion of the ongoing Turkish monetary policy experiment by focusing on macroprudential measures, capital controls and central bank independence, as promised in the first article, as an example of these...

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Monetary Policy Debates in the Age of Deglobalisation: the Turkish Experiment – III

A slightly edited version of this article first appeared in the Economic and Political Weekly on 22 July 2023.Summary: This article is the third and last in a series of articles on monetary policy debates in the age in which deglobalisation became a buzzword. Here, we continue our discussion of the ongoing Turkish monetary policy experiment by focusing on macroprudential measures, capital controls and central bank independence, as promised in the first article, as an example of these...

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Blame economists for decades of false security

And for the cataclysmic gap between theory, policy and ecosystem collapse. [This article was first published on Ann’s Substack site, System Change, on 21st August 2023] The Financial Times’s Lex column is legendary. The editor, Jonathan Guthrie, argues that it is “the oldest and arguably most influential column of its kind” having first appeared in 1945. Lex is written by a collective – there are no author bylines because that would be inaccurate, writes Guthrie. The name is “a riff on the...

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Blame economists for decades of false security

And for the cataclysmic gap between theory, policy and ecosystem collapse.[This article was first published on Ann’s Substack site, System Change, on 21st August 2023]The Financial Times’s Lex column is legendary.The editor, Jonathan Guthrie, argues that it is “the oldest and arguably most influential column of its kind” having first appeared in 1945. Lex is written by a collective – there are no author bylines because that would be inaccurate, writes Guthrie. The name is “a riff on the Latin...

Read More »

Blame economists for decades of false security

And for the cataclysmic gap between theory, policy and ecosystem collapse.[This article was first published on Ann’s Substack site, System Change, on 21st August 2023]The Financial Times’s Lex column is legendary.The editor, Jonathan Guthrie, argues that it is “the oldest and arguably most influential column of its kind” having first appeared in 1945. Lex is written by a collective – there are no author bylines because that would be inaccurate, writes Guthrie. The name is “a riff on the Latin...

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Feeling the pay pain

May 2023. The UK economy struggles along, shedding another 0.1% of GDP. The ‘size’ of the economy, measured as GDP, is a fraction (0.7% to be precise) greater than in May 2019, 4 long years ago. It’s still smaller than in the second half of 2019. Even worse, average real pay (i.e. after allowing for CPI inflation) is a fraction lower than it was in 2019 – in May 209, £499, in May 2023, £497. But that average masks a great deal of variety, between those whose pay has kept up with inflation...

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