Given the makeup of the Supreme Court after 3 conservative appointments to the court, I was concerned as to what the outcome of the Court’s decision might be. Whether they would agree with Texas and trump was the concern. The italicized sentence is basically the Court’s decision. The note from Alito and Thomas being an acceptance of the motion for review and not grant the petitioner relief. “The justices’ dissents, though, are considerably less...
Read More »Coronavirus dashboard for November 9: Wow (and not in a good way)
Coronavirus dashboard for November 9: Wow (and not in a good way) US total infections: 9,968,155* US average last 7 days: 108,737 US total deaths: 237,570 US average last 7 days: 939 *I suspect that the real number is about 16 million, or about 5% of the total US population Source: COVID Tracking Project While we have been riveted by the 2020 election, the pandemic has continued to rage out of control in parts of the US, particularly in parts of the...
Read More »The final 2020 Senate nowcast: 51 Democrats, 48 GOPers, 1 true toss-up
The final 2020 Senate nowcast: 51 Democrats, 48 GOPers, 1 true toss-up Here are the final maps for the Senate, including all polls since October 1. I’ll post the Presidential nowcast separately later since it is going to be significantly longer this week. To refresh, In the first map below: – States where the race is closer than 3% are shown as toss-ups. – States where the range is between 3% to 5% are light colors. – States where the range is between 5%...
Read More »Stop Girdling the Post Office
Mark Jamison, Retired NC Postmaster at Save the Post Office, October 29, 2020 In forestry the practice of tree girdling is well known. Although there are some circumstances where this can be a useful practice, in most cases the technique is used for nefarious ends. Girdling involves removing the bark and layers below the bark, usually around the trunk of the tree. The cut, when it includes the entire circumference of the tree, makes it impossible for the...
Read More »A brief history of the Judiciary under Republics; the radical departure of the US Constitution, and how to reform it now
A brief history of the Judiciary under Republics; the radical departure of the US Constitution, and how to reform it now I’ll have a note up, probably at Seeking Alpha tomorrow, on new home sales, which get reported later this morning. In the meantime, especially with the likely confirmation of the 6th movement conservative Justice today, who will probably immediately start to rule on election issues, I want to flesh out in outline form my thoughts on...
Read More »Jobless claims: yet another week of glacial progress
Jobless claims: yet another week of glacial progress Today marked yet another week of glacial progress in initial jobless claims, at levels worse than the worst weekly levels of the Great Recession. On a non-seasonally adjusted basis, new jobless claims rose by 5,312 to 804,307. After seasonal adjustment (which is far less important than usual at this time), claims fell by 9,000 to 840,000, another new pandemic low. The 4-week moving average also...
Read More »Voting in a Time of Covid: A Question about Judicial “Originalism”
Voting in a Time of Covid: A Question about Judicial “Originalism” The originalist theory of legal interpretation holds that judges, in reviewing the implementation of a statute, should be guided by the “plain meaning” of its language at the time it was adopted. This is in opposition to the notion of a “living law”, whose interpretation should evolve as the conditions it addresses evolves. For instance, originalists are appalled by Supreme Court...
Read More »Happy Every Economic Statistic in the World Day! 1. Jobless claims continue making glacial progress
Happy Every Economic Statistic in the World Day! 1. Jobless claims continue making glacial progress 1. Jobless claims Another week of glacial progress in initial jobless claims, at levels worse than the worst weekly levels of the Great Recession. On a non-seasonally adjusted basis, new jobless claims fell by -40,263 to 786,942. After seasonal adjustment (which is far less important than usual at this time), claims fell by -36,000 to 837,000, another new...
Read More »Coronavirus dashboard for September 30: a portrait of dismal societal failure
Coronavirus dashboard for September 30: a portrait of dismal societal failure I hear the WWE staged a helluva mud wrestling cage match last night! Since we won’t get any economic news until Every Statistic In The World is released tomorrow, in other, more uplifting news, let’s take the most updated look at coronavirus infections in the US. Total US infections: 7,190,230 Average infections last 7 days: 42,045 Total US deaths: 205,986 Average deaths last...
Read More »Ponzi Finance II: quid pro quo
The real story revealed by the New York Times Trump tax returns bombshell is not that Donald Trump paid no taxes in 10 out of 15 years or that he paid $750 in 2016 and 2017. The real story is that he doesn’t have net income to service his debt. There is nothing inherently illegal about that. He did it before in the 1980s and when real estate prices stopped rising in 1990, his creditors were left holding the bag. Hyman Minsky wrote about Donald Trump’s...
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