[unable to retrieve full-text content]Joel C. Eissenberg and Michael D. Eissenberg Institute for Thanksgiving Weekend’s Intriguing Standardized Tests (ITWIST) Evergreen, Colorado 80439 Abstract Ultraviolet (UV) light is a form of ionizing radiation prevalent on earth during daylight hours. UV light exposure in humans is a risk factor for skin cancer and cataracts. Accordingly, there has been considerable interest in […] The post Knocking Back The UV appeared first on Angry...
Read More »The long leading indicator of corporate profit growth stalled in Q3
[unable to retrieve full-text content]If you have been reading New Deal democrat all along, you will remember NDd’s commentary on October 23rd (the link is below) discussing the possible stall of corporate profits. Maybe it is an easy call and maybe not. There are negatives to corporate profits stalling. Read on . . . – by New Deal democrat […] The post The long leading indicator of corporate profit growth stalled in Q3 appeared first on Angry Bear.
Read More »A Complete Set of Subjective Probabilities, Bayes’ Formula, Overconfidence and Over-reaction to new information
[unable to retrieve full-text content]There is an approach to cognitive psychology and modelling beliefs and forecasts which is natural for economists and very misleading. The assumptions are that we have a complete set of subjective probabilities updated with Bayes’ formula, that for any possible combination of events we have a belief about the probability that they will occur and […] The post A Complete Set of Subjective Probabilities, Bayes’ Formula, Overconfidence...
Read More »Seafood says global warming is not a hoax
[unable to retrieve full-text content]Trump and his minions may not believe in global warming, but people whose livelihoods depend on understanding climate change—bankers, insurance companies and the military—know it’s real. So do non-humans whose livelihoods are compromised by climate change: “Native fish populations will likely continue their decline off of Massachusetts’ coast, while species from further south will move […] The post Seafood says global...
Read More »A Tale of Two Economies
[unable to retrieve full-text content]Anterevolution, France was pre-industrial, feudal, and broke. Broke because its wealth (wealth that had been derived from the labor of serfs at home and slaves in her colonies, and the exploitation of indigenous peoples) had been wasted by its government and aristocracy on wars and extravagance. By 1789, wars and lifestyle had bled the country […] The post A Tale of Two Economies appeared first on Angry Bear.
Read More »Six thoughts about the election and democracy
[unable to retrieve full-text content]The Trump problem is not – and never has been – the electoral college The problem is that Donald Trump is a competitive presidential candidate in the United States, despite his manifest unsuitability for office. There are various reasons for Trump’s competitiveness. Some of these reasons are structural (the weakness of our parties and our […] The post Six thoughts about the election and democracy appeared first on...
Read More »Programming note
[unable to retrieve full-text content]Here at Angry Bear, we’re all about intelligent discourse and diverse viewpoints, as long as the posts are honest and backed by facts and evidence. We will delete comments that support a flat earth, a geocentric solar system or creationism, as well as their political equivalents. We don’t feed trolls here at AB, regardless of […] The post Programming note appeared first on Angry Bear.
Read More »Are corporate profits stalling in Q3?
[unable to retrieve full-text content]– by New Deal democrat One of the well-established long leading indicators is corporate profits. Typically they peak a year or more before the onset of a recession. And the reason makes sense: if there is profit pressure that lasts longer than a single quarter, i.e., it looks like it may be forming a trend, […] The post Are corporate profits stalling in Q3? appeared first on Angry Bear.
Read More »Pennsylvania canvassing report
[unable to retrieve full-text content]I am canvassing near Pittsburgh this week with a group of around 30. The first few days have been relatively uneventful. The weather has been beautiful. A few of my co-canvassers reported useful conversations, like one woman who wanted to vote but wasn’t sure who the pro-choice candidate was. I have had one conversation with […] The post Pennsylvania canvassing report appeared first on Angry Bear.
Read More »EV fueling ports vs gas station nozzles
Kevin Drum has a post up about the present and future of EV charging stalls in the US. As of 2023, the number was 184,000, with public charging stalls outnumbering Tesla stalls 6:1. Is that a lot or a little? Well, lots of people say that they’re holding off buying EVs because of the range, which is still less than most ICE cars. One way to mitigate that concern is to have more charging stalls than gas station nozzles*. So how many gasoline...
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