Tag Archives: recession indicators

Scenes from the March employment report 2: unemployment recession indicators  – by New Deal democrat A reminder: I may be offline for the next couple of days. In the meantime, yesterday I looked at the 5 leading indicators contained in the employment report, and summarized how they either signal recession now or within the next 3 to 6 months. Today I want to focus on unemployment and underemployment. Economist Gloria Sahm’s Rule, namely...

I have been reporting for months that the indicator we should all be monitoring is Real Gross Private Domestic Investment.... Forbes — Pragmatic EconomicsIs Falling Investment Spending The Last Nail In The Coffin? John T. Harvey | Professor of Economics, Texas Christian University

Although yield curve slopes are very effective indicators for forecasting recessions, they are not infallible. This article discusses some of the reasons why a yield curve inversion can be a misleading recession signal.... Bond Economics  When Can Yield Curves Fail As Indicators?Brian Romanchuk