from Dean Baker In the fall of 2013, Jared Bernstein and I wrote a book called Getting Back to Full Employment: A Better Bargain for Working People. The main point of the book was that low unemployment rates disproportionately benefited those who are most disadvantaged in the labor market. For this reason, we argued for using macroeconomic policy to get the unemployment rate as low as possible, until inflation became a clear problem. At that time, the unemployment rate was still close to...
Read More »Critical rationalism
from Lars Syll For realists, the name of the scientific game is explaining phenomena, not just saving them. Realists typically invoke ‘inference to the best explanation’ [IBE] … What exactly is the inference in IBE, what are the premises, and what the conclusion? The intellectual ancestor of IBE is Peirce’s abduction: The surprising fact, C, is observed. But if A were true, C would be a matter of course. Hence, … A is true. Here the second premise is a fancy way of saying “A explains C”....
Read More »Fake news: the medium is not the message
AA study of fake news on Twitter Facebook has found that the biggest propagators are Republicans over 65. No surprises there. Unfortunately, the researchers muddy the waters by suggesting that this group is prone to believing and spreading lies because they are “digital immigrants”, rather than “digital natives”, a distinction I thought had disappeared. ,A moment’s thought should have suggested a different interpretation. The same group, after all constitutes the primary audience...
Read More »The Great Recession
from Constantine Passaris and the current issue of the RWER The Great Recession commenced during the second decade of the new millennium. It was triggered by the global financial crisis of 2008 and developed in its aftermath. I believe the Great Recession is an important economic governance milepost. To my way of thinking the Great Recession is the defining economic event that revealed the fault lines in economic governance and the dysfunctional nature of our economic policy tool kit for...
Read More »Perils of exchange rate miss-alignment
from Asad Zaman As I have only recently come to realize, stabilizing the exchange rate at the wrong level can have massively harmful effects. One can trace major economic tragedies to such attempts. The British attempt to go back to the gold standard after post WW1 failed because they set the level too high (as Keynes pointed out). This attempt set of a sequence of events which had far reaching consequences. A similar story is told about Pakistan in “The Rupee is falling; let it crash”....
Read More »Financial and business cycles in the United States
source: https://hackernoon.com/predator-prey-economics-2b2c0272d472
Read More »How monetary union is sacrificed on the altar of competitiveness
from Norbert Häring European Economic & Monetary Union (EMU) is in permanent crisis. The economic strengths of the participating nations are drifting apart instead of converging. This creates great frustration among the governments of countries being left behind and fierce disputes between them and Brussels and governments of core countries. The currency union was based on the premise that the economic structures and levels of prosperity among the members of the union would converge....
Read More »Open thread Jan. 25, 2019
How the High Court helped wreck Morrison’s visit to Fiji
As with just about everything Scott Morrison has done since becoming PM, his visit to Fiji was a trainwreck. Morrison must have hoped that his Trumpian willingness to endorse the dictatorial methods of Fijian PM Frank Bainimarama would ensure a warm welcome. It was not to be. In part, this was due to the government’s embrace of climate denialism, which reflects hostility to the global environment in general, rather than Fiji in particular, and isn’t going to change any time soon....
Read More »Is money — really — neutral in the long run?
from Lars Syll Paul Krugman has repeatedly over the years argued that we should continue to use neoclassical hobby horses like IS-LM and Aggregate Supply-Aggregate Demand models. Here’s one example: So why do AS-AD? … We do want, somewhere along the way, to get across the notion of the self-correcting economy, the notion that in the long run, we may all be dead, but that we also have a tendency to return to full employment via price flexibility. Or to put it differently, you do want...
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