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Tag Archives: US/Global Economics

Strong growth in labor force participation is correlated with weak real wage growth

by New Deal democrat Strong growth in labor force participation is correlated with weak realwage growth Prof. Jared Bernstein has a piece in the Washington Post today (and at his blog) noting that, even with much improved unemployment and underemployment rates, wage growth is still subpar. One item I wanted to add to the conversation is the inverse correlation between the prime age labor force participation rate and wage growth.  As I I’ve pointed out several...

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Scenes from the employment report

by New Deal democrat Scenes from the employment report As I described in my detailed post on the April jobs report, below, almost everything moved in the right direction, and significantly so.  Let me lay out a few graphs to show the longer-term stronger and weaker points. In the good news department, the U6 underemployment rate has been falling at a good clip in the last few months, and at 8.6%, is about 0.6% from representing a reasonably “full” employment...

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Messing Up Badly In Korea

by Barkley Rosser Messing Up Badly In Korea In many areas where many were worried that President Trump would do this that or the other crazy thing he has held back for one reason or another.  But one very serious location where he has recently made a total botch of things has been in Korea, a series of unforced errors.  Of course before he got into it in Korea it looked like he might get in a shooting war with China, but then he decided that Xi Jinping is a...

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April jobs report: a blowout — except (sigh) for wages

by New Deal democrat April jobs report: a blowout — except (sigh) for wages HEADLINES: +211,000 jobs added U3 unemployment rate down -0.1% from 4.5% to 4.4% U6 underemployment rate down 0.3% from 8.9% to 8.6% Here are the headlines on wages and the chronic heightened underemployment: Wages and participation rates Not in Labor Force, but Want a Job Now:  down -74,000 from 5.781 million to 5.707 million Part time for economic reasons: down -281,000 from 5.553...

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Holding Trump to account on manufacturing and mining jobs: setting the benchmarks

From Wednesday postings: by New Deal democrat Holding Trump to account on manufacturing and mining jobs: setting the benchmarks Tomorrow is the April employment report, and at this point we can begin to hold Trump and the GOP Congress at least somewhat (but not fully for about 3-6 more months) accountable for the trend. For example, by this point 8 years ago, Obama and the Democratic Congress had passed the stimulus program, and the hemorrhaging of jobs,...

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Totally twitty Chait hate

by Robert Waldmann Totally twitty Chait hate I admire Jonathan Chait. In particular, I admire his denunciation of those (e.g. Barack Obama) who criticize “some in my party” without naming names. His rule is that if one criticizes an argument, position or view, one should name and quote someone. Otherwise the temptation to debate straw men is irresistable. This fits Chait’s general (confessed) inclination to be mean — he doesn’t mind criticizing people by...

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Our Treasury Secretary

Larry Summers on Treasury Secretary Mnuchin (via WP), to put it mildly: Last week I suggested that I felt sorry for Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin. He found himself forced by circumstance and his president to say and do things that undermined his and Treasury’s credibility. I wish there was an external force that could be blamed for the secretary’s comments on Monday, but they look from the outside like unforced errors. At Michael Milken’s annual...

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Climate of Complete Incomprehension

by Peter Dorman   (originally published at Econospeak) Climate of Complete Incomprehension I finally got around to reading the NY Times new “responsible conservative”, Bret Stephens’, call for skepticism and moderation on climate change.  He adopts an attitude that exudes reasonableness and rejection of hubris.  Complicated modeling is an uncertain business and often fails; just look at Hilary Clinton’s Big Data campaign gurus.  Climate change is such a...

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European Union ends relocation subsidies

This isn’t actually news, but it’s news to me, and it’s something you need to know. Greg LeRoy sent me an article by James Meek in London Review of Books (20 April 2017) that he’d been sent by a friend, documenting more EU-permitted job piracy by Poland that preceded the case I discuss at length in my book, Investment Incentives and the Global Competition for Capital. There, I criticized the European Commission’s Directorate-General for Competition for...

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