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Durable goods, Austria PMI, Trade, Trump comments

Summary:
Now in contraction year over year: US Durable Goods Orders Drop for 2nd Month New orders for US manufactured durable goods fell 1.3% in May, after a 2.8% plunge in April and much worse than market expectations of a 0.1% drop. Transportation equipment, down three of the last four months, was mostly responsible for the decline. Meanwhile, the so-called core capital goods orders rose 0.4%, recovering from a 1% decline in April. Highlights Net exports are not improving which looks to be a negative for second-quarter GDP. The US deficit in cross-border goods trade came in at a much deeper-than-expected .6 billion masking, however, a strong 3.0 percent rise in exports to 0.2 billion. But imports outmatched the rise with a 3.7 percent increase to 4.7 billion.

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Now in contraction year over year:

US Durable Goods Orders Drop for 2nd Month

New orders for US manufactured durable goods fell 1.3% in May, after a 2.8% plunge in April and much worse than market expectations of a 0.1% drop. Transportation equipment, down three of the last four months, was mostly responsible for the decline. Meanwhile, the so-called core capital goods orders rose 0.4%, recovering from a 1% decline in April.

Durable goods, Austria PMI, Trade, Trump comments

Durable goods, Austria PMI, Trade, Trump comments

Durable goods, Austria PMI, Trade, Trump comments

Highlights

Net exports are not improving which looks to be a negative for second-quarter GDP. The US deficit in cross-border goods trade came in at a much deeper-than-expected $74.6 billion masking, however, a strong 3.0 percent rise in exports to $140.2 billion. But imports outmatched the rise with a 3.7 percent increase to $214.7 billion.

Exports of foods, feeds & beverages are a major plus for May, up 6.1 percent to $11.9 billion though year-on-year contraction is still substantial at minus 9.1 percent. Capital goods exports are also strong, up 3.5 percent to $46.3 billion with this yearly contraction at 3.8 percent. Vehicle exports rose 4.7 percent to $13.8 billion and show a 1.5 percent yearly gain.

Imports of foods fell 0.5 percent in May to $12.8 billion with all other categories, however, showing sharp increases especially vehicles at a 7.5 percent monthly gain to $33.2 billion for a yearly increase of 10.9 percent. Consumer goods imports rose 2.7 percent to $55.5 billion in the month but are down 2.4 percent on the year.

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WARREN MOSLER
Warren Mosler is an American economist and theorist, and one of the leading voices in the field of Modern Monetary Theory (MMT). Presently, Warren resides on St. Croix, in the US Virgin Islands, where he owns and operates Valance Co., Inc.

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