Sunday , November 24 2024
Home / The Angry Bear / Another week of good news on jobless claims

Another week of good news on jobless claims

Summary:
Another week of good news on jobless claims  – by New Deal democrat Initial jobless claims had been in an almost relentless uptrend from the end of March through early August. Since then, they have completely reversed. This week initial claims declined another -6,000 to 222,000, and the 4 week average declined -7,500 to 233,000. Continuing claims, which lag somewhat, increased another 36,000 to 1,473,000, a 5 month high: There was a little caterwauling on CNBC about the increase in continued claims. I am not concerned in the slightest. As I wrote above, they lag initial claims. They will reverse lower in the next few weeks. Lower gas prices continue to bring lots of good short term news to the economy. I tipped off Menzie Chinn of

Topics:
NewDealdemocrat considers the following as important: , , ,

This could be interesting, too:

Peter Radford writes Election: Take Four

Joel Eissenberg writes Diversity in healthcare delivery

NewDealdemocrat writes New Deal democrats Weekly Indicators for November 11 – 15

Bill Haskell writes Review of the Tax Code and Who Benefited the Most from the Breaks in It

Another week of good news on jobless claims

 – by New Deal democrat

Initial jobless claims had been in an almost relentless uptrend from the end of March through early August. Since then, they have completely reversed.

This week initial claims declined another -6,000 to 222,000, and the 4 week average declined -7,500 to 233,000. Continuing claims, which lag somewhat, increased another 36,000 to 1,473,000, a 5 month high:

Another week of good news on jobless claims

There was a little caterwauling on CNBC about the increase in continued claims. I am not concerned in the slightest. As I wrote above, they lag initial claims. They will reverse lower in the next few weeks.

Lower gas prices continue to bring lots of good short term news to the economy. I tipped off Menzie Chinn of Econbrowser to their correlation to consumer confidence and presidential approval, and he helpfully calculated their correlation, with graphs, in this post.

I want to caution that the long term outlook in next year remains negative; but as noted above, this takes the pressure off the short term.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *