Jobless claims continue their string of good news – by New Deal democrat If yesterday’s economic data was bad, this morning’s was considerably better (I’ll post on housing construction later). Initial jobless claims declined 15,000 to 195,000, tied for their best number in almost 8 months. The 4 week moving average declined 6,500 to 206,000, the best number in over 6 months. Continuing claims, one week earlier, did increase by 17,000 to 1.647 million, still lower than their December readings: These continue to be just excellent numbers. Further, both initial claims and their 4 week average improved, and are lower YoY, although continuing claims are just slightly higher: Unless and until the 4 week average of initial claims is higher
Topics:
NewDealdemocrat considers the following as important: Education, Hot Topics, jobless claims, New Deal Democrat, US EConomics
This could be interesting, too:
NewDealdemocrat writes Real GDP for Q3 nicely positive, but long leading components mediocre to negative for the second quarter in a row
Joel Eissenberg writes Healthcare and the 2024 presidential election
NewDealdemocrat writes JOLTS report for September shows continued deceleration in almost all metrics, now close to a cause for concern
NewDealdemocrat writes Repeat home sales accelerate slightly monthly, but continue to show YoY deceleration
Jobless claims continue their string of good news
– by New Deal democrat
If yesterday’s economic data was bad, this morning’s was considerably better (I’ll post on housing construction later).
Initial jobless claims declined 15,000 to 195,000, tied for their best number in almost 8 months. The 4 week moving average declined 6,500 to 206,000, the best number in over 6 months. Continuing claims, one week earlier, did increase by 17,000 to 1.647 million, still lower than their December readings:
These continue to be just excellent numbers.
Further, both initial claims and their 4 week average improved, and are lower YoY, although continuing claims are just slightly higher:
Unless and until the 4 week average of initial claims is higher by 10%+ YoY and stays there, there is no recession signal.
This is very good news.