The Angry Bear

[unable to retrieve full-text content]Watch Months-of-Supply! by Bill McBride Calculated Risk Both inventory and sales are well below pre-pandemic levels, and I think we need to keep an eye on months-of-supply to forecast price changes. Historically nominal prices declined when months-of-supply approached 6 months – and that is unlikely any time soon – however, as expected, months-of-supply is above 2019 […] The post Watch Months-of-Supply! Housing appeared first on...

[unable to retrieve full-text content] – by New Deal democrat Today in the US is officially Veterans Day, in which we salute the service of all veterans. But it started – and still continues in some countries – as Remembrance Day, a somber memorial to all those who were killed in World War 1, which ended on November 11, 1918. […] The post On Remembrance Day appeared first on Angry Bear.

[unable to retrieve full-text content]Since we have a new president who favors Tariffs, we should start talking about how those Tariffs will impact the US Economy and Citizens. The Tax Foundation offers up a brief explanation which should be readily understandable for Angry Bear readers. If Trump is able to pull this off and get it out of Congress, […] The post The New Economy and the Tariffs and Tax Breaks to Launch It appeared first on Angry Bear.

[unable to retrieve full-text content]I’ve seen some people post “Happy Veteran’s Day.” I’m not a veteran. Technically, my dad was, although he was a naval officer who did his service in the Canal Zone, nowhere close to combat. I never saw him happy on Veteran’s Day. I was never in the military, although I did carry a draft card […] The post Veteran’s Day appeared first on Angry Bear.

[unable to retrieve full-text content]This week’s Covid coverage includes the most common variants … currently circulating – by r. j. Sigmund Briefly, since the CDC’s Covid demographic metrics continue to recede, albeit slowly. Among the “early indicators” “test positivity”, or the percentage of tests for Covid that were positive, fell to 4.8% during the week ending November 2nd, down […] The post Covid coverage includes the most common...

[unable to retrieve full-text content]A comparison of US Fiscal Deficit prompted me to post this at Angry Bear. I believe it will be interesting to see how Trumps fiscal policies playout over the next four years. Check out The Guardian’s Economics Editor’s commentary on Trumps economic plans. The Issue: With continued high fiscal deficits likely for the foreseeable future, […] The post United States’ Fiscal Policy in a Global Context appeared first on Angry Bear.

[unable to retrieve full-text content]It does not look like students holding loan debt and looking for relief will get any relief soon. Newly minted President Donald Trump is in the revenge mode. That would include help from Republicans. Like any new administration looking for revenge, this one will attack the weakest element. It does not mean that Student Loan […] The post Student Loan Updates 2024 appeared first on Angry Bear.

[unable to retrieve full-text content]Trump says global warming is a scam and a hoax. He promises to cut federal funding for green programs and to ramp up fracking and drilling. He can certainly do the former, but business controls drilling and fracking, and the price of oil is dictated by international supply and demand, not the whims of the […] The post Investing in the hoax market appeared first on Angry Bear.

[unable to retrieve full-text content]I do not have the complete 2024 election pattern yet. Once I do, I will repost this with complete numbers and display a pattern. One thing which is apparent. Large segments of registered voters do not vote in Presidential Elections even if eligible. Maybe it is time to have laws governing voting practices. United States […] The post Last Four Presidential Elections Has been Done by Less Than Two-Thirds of Eligible Voters appeared first on Angry Bear.

[unable to retrieve full-text content]Just some economic analysis about good economic growth in the month of November 2024. Something the public seemed to have missed along the way. 2023 and 2024 appears to have had good growth even with high Fed rates. See chart below. Commerce Data Show Strong Economic Gains Due to Americans Making and Spending More November […] The post Early Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) Numerics for November 2024 appeared first on Angry Bear.