Lars P. Syll

 [embedded content] Advertisements

Birger Schlaug skärskådar Annie Lööfs ordblajande i DN Birger Schlaug gjorde igår en uppfriskande och njutningsfull närläsning av den Margaret Thatcher och Ayn Rand älskande Annie Lööfs DN-Debatt-artikel. Inte mycket blir kvar av politikerbroilern Lööfs tyckmyckentrutade mumbo jumbo. Tag och läs! Advertisements

Why data is not enough to answer scientific questions Ironically, the need for a theory of causation began to surface at the same time that statistics came into being. In fact modern statistics hatched out of the causal questions that Galton and Pearson asked about heredity and out of their ingenious attempts to answer them from cross-generation data. Unfortunately, they failed in this endeavor and, rather than pause to ask “Why?”, they declared those...

Italia: troppo grande per fallire, troppo grande per scamparla L’euro ha tolto la possibilità ai Governi nazionali di gestire in modo significativo le loro economie e in Italia, proprio come in Grecia un paio di anni fa, le persone hanno dovuto pagare i veri costi delle erronee e concomitanti politiche di austerità. Durante l’ultimo decennio, il dispiegarsi delle ripetute crisi economiche in Eurolandia ha mostrato al di là di ogni dubbio che l’euro non è...

IMF blames Germany for increased crash risk Der Chefvolkswirt des Internationalen Währungsfonds (IWF), Maurice Obstfeld, weist Deutschland eine Mitverantwortung zu für die Spannungen in der internationalen Handelspolitik. Zudem trage Deutschland dazu bei, dass das Risiko einer neuerlichen Finanzkrise steige. „Alle Länder, auch Deutschland, stehen in der Verantwortung, die globale Finanzstabilität zu schützen“, schreibt Obstfeld in einem Gastbeitrag für...

[embedded content] The balanced budget paradox is probably one of the most devastating phenomena haunting our economies. The harder politicians — usually on the advice of establishment economists — try to achieve balanced budgets for the public sector, the less likely they are to succeed in their endeavour. And the more the citizens have to pay for the concomitant austerity policies these wrong-headed politicians and economists recommend as “the sole solution.” One of the most...

The essence​ of scientific reasoning​ In science we standardly use a logically non-valid inference — the fallacy of affirming the consequent — of the following form: (1) p => q (2) q ————- p or, in instantiated form (1) ∀x (Gx => Px) (2) Pa ———— Ga Although logically invalid, it is nonetheless a kind of inference — abduction — that may be factually strongly warranted and truth-producing. Following the general pattern ‘Evidence  =>  Explanation...

Tanti saluti delle Cinque Terre  [embedded content] Advertisements

Il ritmo della passione  [embedded content] Advertisements

Der Zusammenhang zwischen Musikgeschmack und Intelligenz  [embedded content] Advertisements