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Real-World Economics Review

The pitfalls of econometrics

from Lars Syll Ed Leamer’s Tantalus on the Road to Asymptopia is one of my favourite critiques of econometrics, and for the benefit of those who are not versed in the econometric jargon, this handy summary gives the gist of it in plain English: Most work in econometrics and regression analysis is made on the assumption that the researcher has a theoretical model that is ‘true.’ Based on this belief of having a correct specification for an econometric model or running a regression, one...

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Are low interest rates ‘fair value’?

The next post is interesting on different levels. First, interest rates are low and it shows that medium run changes in these rates can to quite some extent be ‘explained’ by a cocktail of:  economic variables, price setting by central banks and expectation variables (mind that the model is straightforward but the variables aren’t!). This, however, does not explain why USA rates are quite a bit higher than (in this case) German rates, even when inflation, growth and unemployment in the...

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DEAN BAKER |HSI COLLEGE

Bishop Dr. Joh Seer is the Founding Patriarch of the WORLD BISHOP COUNCIL FEDERATION. He is also the President of ASSEMBLIES OF CHRISTIAN (Malaysia), Chancellor of HOLY SPIRIT INSTITUTE & Chairman of online Christian Radio SUARA PROFETIK ASIA/PROPHETIC VOICE OF ASIA. Bishop Dr. Joh Seer ialah Patriarch PERSEKUTUAN APOSTOLIK & PROFETIKA ASIA & PERSEKUTUAN USKUP ANTARABANGSA .Dia juga merangkap Presiden Jemaat ASSEMBLIES OF CHRISTIAN@AOC Chancellor Kolej INSTITUT ROH KUDUS dan Pengerusi...

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DEAN BAKER |HSI COLLEGE

Bishop Dr. Joh Seer is the Founding Patriarch of the WORLD BISHOP COUNCIL FEDERATION. He is also the President of ASSEMBLIES OF CHRISTIAN (Malaysia), Chancellor of HOLY SPIRIT INSTITUTE & Chairman of online Christian Radio SUARA PROFETIK ASIA/PROPHETIC VOICE OF ASIA. Bishop Dr. Joh Seer ialah Patriarch PERSEKUTUAN APOSTOLIK & PROFETIKA ASIA & PERSEKUTUAN USKUP ANTARABANGSA .Dia juga merangkap Presiden Jemaat ASSEMBLIES OF CHRISTIAN@AOC Chancellor Kolej INSTITUT ROH KUDUS dan...

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Blame the policies, not the robots

from Jared Bernstein and Dean Baker The claim that automation is responsible for massive job losses has been made in almost every one of the Democratic debates. In the last debate, technology entrepreneur Andrew Yang told of automation closing stores on Main Street and of self-driving trucks that would shortly displace “3.5 million truckers or the 7 million Americans who work in truck stops, motels, and diners” that serve them. Rep. Tulsi Gabbard (Hawaii) suggested that the “automation...

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Paul Krugman — finally — admits he was wrong!

from Lars Syll Paul Krugman has never suffered fools gladly. The Nobel Prize-winning economist rose to international fame—and a coveted space on the New York Times op-ed page—by lacerating his intellectual opponents in the most withering way. In a series of books and articles beginning in the 1990s, Krugman branded just about everybody who questioned the rapid pace of globalization a fool who didn’t understand economics very well. “Silly” was a word Krugman used a lot to describe pundits...

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MMT has become part of the mainstream conversation, but . . .

from David Colander MMT has done what few heterodox economic theories have done; it has become part of the mainstream conversation. It is talked about by pundits and politicians, which means that standard macro economists have felt compelled to respond to its arguments. That’s an enormous accomplishment that will, I hope, lead to improvements in macroeconomic theory and policy. Its creators deserve to be congratulated. But I am not too hopeful. MMT is more of a marketing success than an...

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