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Shannon Monnat and David L. Brown — How Despair Helped Drive Trump to Victory

Summary:
Economic, social and health decline in the industrial Midwest may have been a major factor in the 2016 US presidential election, Monnat and Brown’s INET research finds, with people living in distressed areas swinging behind Trump in greater numbers. Trump performed well within these landscapes of despair – places that have borne the brunt of declines in manufacturing, mining, and related industries since the 1970s and are now struggling with opioids, disability, poor health, and family problems. Hillary's "deplorables"?These people should have been part of the base of a Democratic Party that is the party of FDR rather than Jimmy Carter, Bill Clinton, and Barack Obama. First there were the Reagan Democrats and now there are the Trump Democrats.It's wasn't "the Russians" that did the

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Economic, social and health decline in the industrial Midwest may have been a major factor in the 2016 US presidential election, Monnat and Brown’s INET research finds, with people living in distressed areas swinging behind Trump in greater numbers. Trump performed well within these landscapes of despair – places that have borne the brunt of declines in manufacturing, mining, and related industries since the 1970s and are now struggling with opioids, disability, poor health, and family problems.
Hillary's "deplorables"?

These people should have been part of the base of a Democratic Party that is the party of FDR rather than Jimmy Carter, Bill Clinton, and Barack Obama. First there were the Reagan Democrats and now there are the Trump Democrats.

It's wasn't "the Russians" that did the Democrats in, with the GOP controlling not only the presidency but also both branches of the federal legislature and the majority of governorships and state legislatures.

The Democratic Party under the New Democrats lost the plot and remain clueless, trying to blame "the Russians" for their own corruption and ineptitude that brought them down.

However, the GOP establishment lost control of the Party to a base that was fed up with false promises.

Now both party establishments are trying to wrest back control, which is further dividing the country not so much on party lines as class structure, with populism rising in the bases of the both parties as the precariat swells.

INET
How Despair Helped Drive Trump to Victory
Shannon Monnat, Associate Professor, Syracuse University, and David L. Brown, Professor Emeritus, Cornell University

ht Yves Smith at Naked Capitalism

See also

Feelings of uncertainty and losing control bring a preference for “dominant” versus “prestige” leaders
Scientific American
Explaining the Global Rise of “Dominance” Leadership
Niro Sivanathan, Hemant Kakkar
Mike Norman
Mike Norman is an economist and veteran trader whose career has spanned over 30 years on Wall Street. He is a former member and trader on the CME, NYMEX, COMEX and NYFE and he managed money for one of the largest hedge funds and ran a prop trading desk for Credit Suisse.

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