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Alan Longbon — U.S. Private Domestic Sector Balance Books A $147 Billion Surplus Through March 2019

Summary:
SummaryThe US budget deficit is 7 billion in March 2019; this is a net add to private domestic sector income. Dollars added to the economy by the federal government allow the private sector to post a 7 billion surplus and add to its stock of net financial assets. Private credit growth was again flat and added less than .8 billion to the money supply. A big drop from the January contribution of over B. Further, income flows from the national government impact investment markets with a one-month lag, and so, can be a useful predictive tool. April is looking good up until the 15th when Federal income tax is paid and markets will fall into May 2019. Seeking AlphaU.S. Private Domestic Sector Balance Books A 7 Billion Surplus Through March 2019Alan Longbon

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Summary
  • The US budget deficit is $147 billion in March 2019; this is a net add to private domestic sector income.
  • Dollars added to the economy by the federal government allow the private sector to post a $147 billion surplus and add to its stock of net financial assets.
  • Private credit growth was again flat and added less than $1.8 billion to the money supply. A big drop from the January contribution of over $70B.
  • Further, income flows from the national government impact investment markets with a one-month lag, and so, can be a useful predictive tool. April is looking good up until the 15th when Federal income tax is paid and markets will fall into May 2019.
Seeking Alpha
U.S. Private Domestic Sector Balance Books A $147 Billion Surplus Through March 2019
Alan Longbon
Mike Norman
Mike Norman is an economist and veteran trader whose career has spanned over 30 years on Wall Street. He is a former member and trader on the CME, NYMEX, COMEX and NYFE and he managed money for one of the largest hedge funds and ran a prop trading desk for Credit Suisse.

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