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Rail traffic, Credit check, Employment flows, State and local taxes and expenditures

Summary:
Rail Week Ending 28 November 2015: Contraction Growing Faster. Rail Traffic in November Down 10.4%. Week 47 of 2015 shows same week total rail traffic (from same week one year ago) declined according to the Association of American Railroads (AAR) traffic data. Intermodal traffic contracted year-over-year, which accounts for approximately half of movements and weekly railcar counts continued in contraction. The 52 week rolling average contraction is continuing to grow. Rail counts for the month of Novembers showed a significant contraction. Looks like the growth in car loans has been slowing? Same here?Real estate loan growth has been moving up even as total loan growth has not. Perhaps banks are increasingly demanding real estate as collateral from borrowers: Consumer loan growth has also increased a bit even as total loan grow has not:So this is interesting- looks like approximately 4 million people who were not considered in the labor force, and therefore not counted as unemployed, have been getting jobs every month…And also each month over 4 million people have left their jobs and left the labor force and are therefore not considered unemployed:Lower growth of state and local govt tax receipts indicates lower growth of private sector spending as well as lower growth of state and local spending, which has already been low:

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Rail Week Ending 28 November 2015: Contraction Growing Faster. Rail Traffic in November Down 10.4%.

Week 47 of 2015 shows same week total rail traffic (from same week one year ago) declined according to the Association of American Railroads (AAR) traffic data. Intermodal traffic contracted year-over-year, which accounts for approximately half of movements and weekly railcar counts continued in contraction. The 52 week rolling average contraction is continuing to grow. Rail counts for the month of Novembers showed a significant contraction.

Looks like the growth in car loans has been slowing?
Rail traffic, Credit check, Employment flows, State and local taxes and expenditures

Rail traffic, Credit check, Employment flows, State and local taxes and expenditures

Rail traffic, Credit check, Employment flows, State and local taxes and expenditures

Same here?
Rail traffic, Credit check, Employment flows, State and local taxes and expenditures
Real estate loan growth has been moving up even as total loan growth has not.

Perhaps banks are increasingly demanding real estate as collateral from borrowers:
Rail traffic, Credit check, Employment flows, State and local taxes and expenditures

Rail traffic, Credit check, Employment flows, State and local taxes and expenditures

Consumer loan growth has also increased a bit even as total loan grow has not:
Rail traffic, Credit check, Employment flows, State and local taxes and expenditures
So this is interesting- looks like approximately 4 million people who were not considered in the labor force, and therefore not counted as unemployed, have been getting jobs every month…
Rail traffic, Credit check, Employment flows, State and local taxes and expenditures
And also each month over 4 million people have left their jobs and left the labor force and are therefore not considered unemployed:
Rail traffic, Credit check, Employment flows, State and local taxes and expenditures
Lower growth of state and local govt tax receipts indicates lower growth of private sector spending as well as lower growth of state and local spending, which has already been low:
Rail traffic, Credit check, Employment flows, State and local taxes and expenditures

Rail traffic, Credit check, Employment flows, State and local taxes and expenditures

WARREN MOSLER
Warren Mosler is an American economist and theorist, and one of the leading voices in the field of Modern Monetary Theory (MMT). Presently, Warren resides on St. Croix, in the US Virgin Islands, where he owns and operates Valance Co., Inc.

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