Some improvement but remains weak: Looks ok to me: Not looking good: Not looking good:
Read More »Housing starts and permits, mortgage purchase apps, LA port traffic
A setback to levels of the 1950’s when there were half as many people: Imports up, exports down:
Read More »Employment, imports, consumer borrowing
Employment increased more than expected last month but still looking anemic overall: Returning to normal, good for the global economy:
Read More »Jobless claims, ADP payrolls, ISM services, Vehicle sales
Employment growth has stalled: Not looking good: Also fading:
Read More »Durable goods, pending home sales, personal income and spending, consumer credit
Back to 2018 levels with lots lost during the dip: Still drifting lower: Another round of Federal checks hit last month: The economy is generating less personal income than pre covid and fading: Some of the increased income was saved: Some was spent, but consumption has still not fully recovered: Consumer borrowing to spend has shifted lower:
Read More »New home sales, mortgage purchase applications, bank real estate lending, crude oil prices
Settling in at perhaps somewhat higher levels: Promising! Not showing up here yet: No telling what the Saudis are up to:
Read More »Consumer sentiment, unemployment claims, housing starts, lumber, retail sales, industrial production
Alarmingly high this long after the crisis and no longer moving lower: Seems ‘on average’ it’s hard to say much has changed: Though this looks promising: Tariffs and Covid related supply issues are commonplace: Nice move up after the move down, but still looking net lower than otherwise for the last 12 months due to the crisis: Back towards prior levels but still way down overall for the last year:
Read More »Small business index, JOLTS, corn
Back to where it was pre Trump: New hires down, openings up some but that includes openings to replace higher cost workers: Exporting our food supply (in addition to turning it into motor fuel and burning it up) so we can pay more fighting over what’s left:
Read More »Employment
Looking bad: Looks like the long term growth of government employment was reversed by Obama, then it increased under Trump until the covid crisis:
Read More »Claims, durable goods orders, vehicle sales
Still massively elevated: Orders are about back to where they were but remain at sub 2018 levels: Still soft and sales lost during the dip not recovered: Sales continue to shift from passenger cars:
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