Tag Archives: US/Global Economics

[unable to retrieve full-text content]When an economy produces goods and services above and beyond the requisite, i.e., produces an abundance, it creates wealth.  Ten-eleven thousand years ago, this wealth was likely food stored for winter, that rainy day, that dry season, … .  Today, for some, this abundance/wealth might include assets such as fine houses, lifestyle, money, …; and […] The post Wealth –  Money – Worth appeared first on Angry Bear.

[unable to retrieve full-text content]A brief coming out of China reporting as to what they see as to their issues in growing their international trade. It is a different perspective in what they see as compared to what we see. When I was overseas for weeks at a time, I would pick up a local paper to get those […] The post Chinese firms going global appeared first on Angry Bear.

[unable to retrieve full-text content]Food Prices Rose 28% In 5 Years. Here’s Why, – by Taryn Phaneuf NerdWallet No single factor can explain why food is so much more expensive now than before the pandemic. Food prices — which are up 28% since 2019 — remain high because of the combined impact of rising operating costs, supply-chain disruptions and […] The post Food Pricing Increases, Why? appeared first on Angry Bear.

[unable to retrieve full-text content]In 1998, I traveled to Moscow for the first time to teach in a summer course at the Russian Academy of Sciences. The week before, we were on vacation in Colorado and I heard on the radio “Today, the ruble lost 100% of its value.” That meant that the ruble was worthless, which seemed unlikely. […] The post The ruble is collapsing appeared first on Angry Bear.

[unable to retrieve full-text content]Economist reports on what countries are less costly when driving EVs. If you go to the Economist site, you can find more countries by hovering over each colored circle. And is it always greener? Our ranking shows how costs and emissions vary. OWNERS OF ELECTRIC vehicles (EVs) have a lot to brag about. Their cars are […] The post Where is it actually cheaper to drive an electric car? appeared first on Angry Bear.

[unable to retrieve full-text content]There is an approach to cognitive psychology and modelling beliefs and forecasts which is natural for economists and very misleading. The assumptions are that we have a complete set of subjective probabilities updated with Bayes’ formula, that  for any possible combination of events we have a belief about the probability that they will occur and […] The post A Complete Set of Subjective Probabilities, Bayes’ Formula, Overconfidence...

[unable to retrieve full-text content]Mexico buys about $300 billion worth of goods from us every year, mostly machinery, oil, autos, food and office equipment. If Trump imposes a 25% tariff on Mexican imports, you can be sure that Mexico will retaliate, at the expense of American jobs. Meanwhile, Mexico will certainly be looking to source these goods from China […] The post The Trump tariffs won’t actually happen appeared first on Angry Bear.

[unable to retrieve full-text content]One of the first observed and best known errors people make when told probabilities is the Allais paradox.  People put too much weight on rare extreme outcomes.  This means that choices people make different choices when asked to choose between two  lotteries with the same probabilities of the same outcomes depending on how they are […] The post The Allais Paradox appeared first on Angry Bear.

[unable to retrieve full-text content]For 4 decades I have been trying to deal with, what seems to me to be a contradiction between empirical results. Kahneman and Twersky note two things. One is diagnostic expectations – people over react to useful signals of membership in a group – diagnostic symptoms.  One example is that red hair is diagnostic of […] The post Diagnostic Expectations vs Anchoring appeared first on Angry Bear.

[unable to retrieve full-text content]– Israel Agrees to Cease-Fire With Lebanon’s Hezbollah—But What About Gaza?, Common Dreams. After months of slaughtering those not responsible, then you ask for a truce? “A cease-fire agreement between Israel and Hezbollah appeared to be within reach on Monday amid reports that Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu repeatedly scuttled diplomatic efforts in recent months. – The Global […] The post...