Mosler Economics

Recovered and then some: Closing the gap but a ways to go to ketchup: Not adding much to growth:

Higher prices brought out a few more sellers: The blip up seems to have reversed: Softening: Looks like inventories have recovered: These largely involve buying intentions: Seems to be back on trend, without have ‘made up for’ the covid dip: The rate of growth is declining and has about settled back to the pre covid trend.The higher personal savings from the extra income from fiscal spending is largelyin the form of reduced personal debt: There’s a history of...

Softening from historically low levels: Another commodity that seems to have had a spike that’s ending: Retirees are ‘unretiring’ — and that’s good for the labor market

Just muddling along: Sales dropped when covid hit, and have subsequently recovered and the total now appears to be about what it would have been without the covid interruption:

Note the ‘Hires’ in blue:

Quite a few price increases, which the media now calls ‘inflation’ even though inflation is a continuous increase in the price level: The annual inflation rate in the US surged to 6.2% in October of 2021, the highest since November of 1990 and above forecasts of 5.8%. Upward pressure was broad-based, with energy costs recording the biggest gain (30% vs 24.8% in September), namely gasoline (49.6%). Inflation also increased for shelter (3.5% vs 3.2%); food (5.3% vs 4.6%, the...

Progress, but at a decelerating rate: The US economy added 531K jobs in October of 2021, the most in 3 months and above market forecasts of 450K as Covid-19 cases dropped and employers offered higher wages and more flexible hours. The biggest job gains occurred in leisure and hospitality (164K), in professional and business services (100K), in manufacturing (60K), and in transportation and warehousing (54K) while employment in public education declined (-65K). So far this...

Good news here. The back to work story may be happening: Same here, if it’s any indication of the Friday employment report: This would be a good thing if the government understood it meant lower taxes or more public services. Instead, it’s simply incomes not being spent on domestic goods and services:

Still way down: I like the headline but the chart not so much: China Services PMI Rises to 3-Month High The Caixin China General Services PMI increased to 53.8 in October 2021 from 53.4 in the prior month, pointing to the second straight month of expansion in the service sector and the steepest pace since July as COVID-19 outbreaks eased. New orders expanded the most in three months, export sales returned to growth, and employment rose for the second month in a row....

Apparently ports are clearing:https://www.cnbc.com/2021/11/01/commerce-secretary-gina-raimondo-sees-clear-improvements-happening-at-congested-us-ports.html Several commodities seem to have peaked and then fallen back.Inflation is a continuous increase in the price level, so it doesn’t seem like that’s yet the case: