by Summary:
Although there are various attempts to downplay rate expectations as an explanation for bond yields. the reality is that they dominate any other attempt to generate a fair value estimate by using "fundamental data". (Since we cannot hope to explain every last wiggle of bond yields without having a largely content-free model, we need to look at fair value estimates.) The reasoning is rather straightforward: so long as the risk free curve slope is related to the state of the economy, bond yields are pinned down by the front of the curve, and the slope.... Bond Economics Why Rate Expectations Dominates Bond Yield Fair Value EstimatesBrian Romanchuk
Topics:
Mike Norman considers the following as important: bond yields, expectations, Monetary Policy, yield curve
This could be interesting, too:
Although there are various attempts to downplay rate expectations as an explanation for bond yields. the reality is that they dominate any other attempt to generate a fair value estimate by using "fundamental data". (Since we cannot hope to explain every last wiggle of bond yields without having a largely content-free model, we need to look at fair value estimates.) The reasoning is rather straightforward: so long as the risk free curve slope is related to the state of the economy, bond yields are pinned down by the front of the curve, and the slope.... Bond Economics Why Rate Expectations Dominates Bond Yield Fair Value EstimatesBrian Romanchuk
Topics:
Mike Norman considers the following as important: bond yields, expectations, Monetary Policy, yield curve
This could be interesting, too:
Angry Bear writes Open Thread January 4 2024 overly “restrictive” monetary policy
NewDealdemocrat writes The “bearish steepening” and the death of refinancing
Hasan Cömert & T. Sabri Öncü writes Monetary Policy Debates in the Age of Deglobalisation: the Turkish Experiment – III
Hasan Cömert & T. Sabri Öncü writes Monetary Policy Debates in the Age of Deglobalisation: the Turkish Experiment – III
Although there are various attempts to downplay rate expectations as an explanation for bond yields. the reality is that they dominate any other attempt to generate a fair value estimate by using "fundamental data". (Since we cannot hope to explain every last wiggle of bond yields without having a largely content-free model, we need to look at fair value estimates.) The reasoning is rather straightforward: so long as the risk free curve slope is related to the state of the economy, bond yields are pinned down by the front of the curve, and the slope....Bond Economics
Why Rate Expectations Dominates Bond Yield Fair Value Estimates
Brian Romanchuk