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Tag Archives: US EConomics

Abbreviated Report on Income in the US for 2023

I only provided a portion of the report and the 6 figures (one through six). The full report on Income can be found here: Income in the United States: 2023, Gloria Guzman and Melissa Kollar. The economy was not as bad as the politicians and trump make it out to be, The numbers do not support their contention. Some stats: As reported, median household income in 2023 was higher than in 2022. Income inequality was not significantly different...

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The Good Old Days, Did They Ever Exist?

Good Old Days? A story . . . I was at Parker-Hannifin Fluid Power for a bit over 4-years. Due to the economic slowdown in 1982, they let me go. I was replaced by someone out of sales. The explanation? His wanting to learn about manufacturing hydraulic and air cylinders. It was obvious he was losing his job in Sales. My boss came out of Sales and knew little about production planning and control. Over 4 years I made him look good by cutting inventory...

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Personal income and spending hits a triple, plus a big positive surprise revision

-by New Deal democrat The monthly personal income and spending report is now the most important report of all, except for jobs. That’s becuase it tells us so much about the state of the consumer economy. It is the raw material for several important coincident indicators that the NBER looks at, as well as several leading indicators on the spending side. And to put this month’s report into the perspective of the imminent baseball postseason, it...

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Job continuity in America

I recently retired after working for the same employer for 37 years. My dad also worked ca. 35 years for his employer before retiring, as did my father-in-law. My sister worked for her employer for 40 years. Two of my sisters-in-law worked for their only employer for about that long. My daughter, on the other hand, is on her 4th employer since finishing law school ten years ago. Most folks switch jobs several times during their working years....

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Weekly jobless claims: good news and ‘meh’ news

– by New Deal democrat I’ve been writing for the past number of weeks that we were approaching the acid test for the hypothesis that unresolved post-pandemic seasonality explained the sharp increase in jobless claims in the summer. This week we are fully immersed in the 6+ month comparison period where initial claims in the past two years averaged between 200,000-220,000. So, first the good news: initial claims declined -4,000 to 218,000, to...

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Ford New In-Car Radio System Eavesdrops, Learns, and plays Ads According to Your Likes

Excellent reporting by Motor Trend revealing how a new tech radio gives you music and can also eaves-drop on you. The result of eaves dropping is to schedule commercials that may appeal to your interests. The radio then will program commercial ads that may suit your interests. Maybe by introducing something new? What do you think? Can you be persuaded by your radio pitching an ad for a new car after hearing you discuss cars with a passenger? A...

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Rebalancing of the Housing Market Continues, as New Home Sales and Existing Home Prices are Consistent with the “Soft landing”

 – by New Deal democrat With this morning’s release of new home sales, we have all of the important housing data releases for the month. So let’s integrate that into the overall housing outlook. Let’s begin with my usual  overview that new home sales are the single most leading metric for the entire sector, but they suffer from the fact that they are extremely volatile and also heavily revised. So it is best to look at them in comparison with...

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USPS Changes Will Slow Rural Delivery

There is an assumption by many politicians and believing citizens, the USPS is supposed to be profitable entity and run like a business. This is what the Postmaster General brings to the table as a solution. It was never the goal of the USPS to be such. Its task is to deliver mail to every place in the nation at the same amount of time. This in itself costs. PMG Dejoy believes this is ok. The USPS can penalize people who live outside of a 50-mile...

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Home Insurance Rates are Rising Fast

Why home insurance rates are rising so fast across the US. Climate change plays a big role, The Conversation Millions of Americans have been watching with growing alarm as their homeowner insurance premiums rise and their coverage shrinks. Nationwide, premiums rose 34% between 2017 and 2023, and they continued to rise in 2024 across much of the country. To add insult to injury, those rates go even higher if you make a claim – as much as 25% if...

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Repeat home sales indexes show further, marked deceleration in price inflation; bode well for the Fed

– by New Deal democrat This morning’s repeat house price indexes from the FHFA and Case Shiller continued to show deceleration in this metric which is very important to home buyers. Specifically, in the three month average through July, U.S. house prices rose 0.2% according to Case Shiller’s national index, and only 0.1% according to the slightly more leading Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) purchase only index, both on a seasonally adjusted...

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