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Tag Archives: US EConomics

New Deal democrat Weekly Indicators April 8 – 12 2024

 – by New Deal democrat The Bonddad Blog My “Weekly Indicators” post is up at Seeking Alpha. Long Lead Indicator Remain Unchanged. Short Lead Indicators show Improvement. Coincidental Indicators suggest a stable consumer and taxpayer environment for 2024. There has been a lot of churn in both the short leading and coincident indicators in the past few weeks, but the overall tone is towards a more positive economic environment....

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Real average wages and aggregate payrolls signal continued growth

 – by New Deal democrat Keep in mind NDd only talks about Real Average Wages in which he does not include supervisor wages or increases. In this regard, readers get a much better perspective of Labor wages and earnings. Since NDd was traveling, we have an additional post this week. The Bonddad Blog On Wednesday I was traveling so I didn’t get around to writing about the important CPI release. Let me start my delayed response by updating real...

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The actual cost of college in America

I’m seeing the usual hyperventilating about college tuition. Look, there’s a lot of competition, particularly among the more competitive universities, to post exorbitant sticker prices for tuition because it makes them look valuable. The reality is that college tuitions are steeply discounted and most domestic students get “scholarships” that reduce the actual cost. “ . . .the actual cost of college for a family with an income of $100,000 has...

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March consumer price inflation was still mainly about the dynamics of shelter and gas prices

 – by New Deal democrat The Bonddad Blog New Deal democrat has been on top of the discussions of shelter and/or gasoline prices in February and also in January. He has been on top of these discussions which appear to be making the news moreso in April than earlier in the year. I have linked to the February commentary and there you can find an earlier commentary link. Enjoy the detail of NDd’s. ~~~~~~~~ The one advantage of not reporting...

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Open Thread, April 12 2024 Inflation Increases – Look to Gasoline and Shelter

Consumer Price Index – March 2024 (bls.gov) “The BLS index for shelter rose in March, as did the index for gasoline. Combined, these two indexescontributed over half of the monthly increase in the index for all items. The energy index rose 1.1percent over the month. The food index rose 0.1 percent in March. The food at home index wasunchanged, while the food away from home index rose 0.3 percent over the month. Good reads on the March BLS...

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March CPI: Should We Be Worried?

by Dean Baker Center for Economic and Policy Research The inflation hawks took March’s CPI as cause for celebration, inflation may not be dead yet. There is no doubt that it was a disappointing report for those hoping we could put the pandemic inflation behind us. However, there still is not much basis for thinking the Fed needs to get out the nukes and start shooting big-time. The key point to remember is this inflation continues to be...

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Initial claims continue to be rangebound, and a positive for the near term forecast

 – by New Deal democrat The Bonddad Blog [NOTE: After traveling all day yesterday, I decided to put off any comments on the CPI upside surprise until later today. Short version is that shelter continues its slow decent, gasoline picked up, and services are accelerating as one might expect in a strong economy with the supply chain tailwind having dissipated.] Initial claims continued to be rangebound this week, declining -11,000 to 211,000....

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Building and Expanding semiconductor facilities

Biden is at it again. This time with Intel in AZ. With all the issues with passing a budget since earlier last year, I wonder how Biden and the Dems got this out of Congress. Must be some pretty good pork involved with these programs to get approvals. Companies are kicking in $240 billion in investments to bring semiconductor manufacturing back to the United States since the President took office. Good move by Dems in a swing state. If you...

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Travelin’ man: Weekly Indicators for April 1 – 5 2024 at Seeking Alpha

– by New Deal democrat I neglected to post this over the weekend, so I will post it now…. Weekly Indicators: The Coincident Indicators Say ‘Soft Landing Is Here.’ – Long Leading Indicators Show Improvement – Short Leading Indicators are showing mixed results. – Coincident Indicators suggest a Soft-Landing scenario for 2024. “My “Weekly Indicators” update is over at Seeking Alpha. There was lots of churn under the surface last...

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Other Taxes on the Rich for Social Security? The Wrong Approach

I touched on a commentary at another site where the commentary was about healthcare. The sites author was advocating for the increase of the Social Security cap only on high income earners. There is a ground swell for taxing the rich more, which is acceptable to most. When we look at this closely, there is an argument for some of this to occur. The level or percentage of total income exposed to Social Security taxes has decreased for the higher in...

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