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Real-World Economics Review

RWER issue no. 77

real-world economics review Please click here to support this journal and the WEA – Subscribers: 26,498       subscribe      RWER Blog     ISSN 1755-9472– A journal of the World Economics Association (WEA)  14,588 members, join         – Sister open access journals:  Economic Thought   and    World Economic Review     back issues Issue no. 77  10 December 2016download the whole issue Human growth and avoiding European disintegration: lessons from Polanyi          2Jorge Buzaglo         ...

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The half that will never be told. . .

from David Ruccio Certainly not by mainstream economists—not if they continue to defend their turf and to attack the new literature on “Slavery’s Capitalism” with the vehemence they’ve recently displayed. It makes me want to forget I ever obtained my Ph.D. in economics and the fact that I’ve spent much of my life working in and around the discipline. A recent article in The Chronicle of Higher Education [ht: ja] highlights Edward E. Baptist’s novel book, The Half Has Never Been Told...

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P6: Historical context for Keynes

from Asad Zaman This post, 6th in a sequence about Re-Reading Keynes, continues to borrow heavily from Brian S. Ferguson, “Lectures on John Maynard Keynes’ General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money (1): Chapter One, Background and Historical Setting” University of Guelph Department of Economics and Finance Discussion Paper No. 2013-06. However the first three paragraphs are mine. Distinguishing between ideologies and science: Deduction: According to Lionel Robbins, economic theory...

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Bewildering Irish GDP data once again (but employment data are sound)

The new quarterly  Irish GDP statistics are in. They are, again, bewildering. Ireland grows because investments are down…. I’ll explain. On the one hand we read: ‘Overall total domestic demand declined by 1.8% in Q3 2016 compared with Q2 2016.’. This decline was led by a 17,8% decline in investments. On the other hand we read: “The National Accounts results show an increase of 4.0% in GDP and an increase of 3.2% in GNP in Q3 2016 compared with Q2 2016“ A heft growth of GDP in combination...

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Disagreeing with Paul Krugman: His friends probably do vote against the interest of the working class (white and other)

from Dean Baker Paul Krugman told readers that intellectual types like him tend to vote for progressive taxes and other measures that benefit white working class people. This is only partly true. People with college and advanced degrees tend to be strong supporters of recent trade deals [I’m including China’s entry to the WTO] that have been a major factor in the loss of manufacturing jobs in the last quarter century, putting downward pressure on the pay of workers without college...

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Insane inequality

from David Ruccio Income inequality continues to grow in the United States—which represents the very definition of insanity: “doing the same thing over and over again and expecting different results.”   According to recent data by Thomas Piketty, Emmanuel Saez, and Gabriel Zucman, from 1979 through 2006, the share of pre-tax income going to the bottom 50 percent of U.S. households fell from an already-low 20.1 percent to an even-lower 13.5 percent. During that same period, the top 1...

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Statistical significance is not real-world significance

from Lars Syll As shown over and over again when significance tests are applied, people have a tendency to read ‘not disconfirmed’ as ‘probably confirmed.’ Standard scientific methodology tells us that when there is only say a 10 % probability that pure sampling error could account for the observed difference between the data and the null hypothesis, it would be more ‘reasonable’ to conclude that we have a case of disconfirmation. Especially if we perform many independent tests of our...

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Italy’s political troubles have deep economic roots

from Mark Weisbrot Much of the media, and the analysts on which it relies, have provided a misleading narrative on the current political problems in Italy, following Sunday’s “no” vote on a referendum on constitutional changes. It has been lumped together with Trump, Brexit, the upsurge of extreme right-wing, anti-European or racist political parties and “populism,” ― which in much of the media seems to be code for demagogic politicians persuading ignorant masses to vote for stupid...

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Carrier capitalism (or rule and law based vs. deal based capitalism)

from David Ruccio President-elect Donald Trump’s decision to bribe Carrier into keeping 800 manufacturing jobs in Indiana, instead of moving them to one of its Mexican plants, has met with opposition from mainstream economists, both liberal and conservative. Clearly, it’s not about the size of the deal (although $7 million in incentives to keep less than one thousand jobs is a big deal). Carrier corporate parent United Technologies is still planning to outsource production that will...

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The deterioration of social capital

One of the most idiosyncratic developments of the last decades is the rise of mortality of white middle aged USA citizens (graph). According to Anna Case and Angus Deaton this was closely related to abuse of alcohol and opioids.  (see graph). The 2015 data are just in: this trend continued (and black men joined it). People were somehow aware of this: the larger the deterioration in health, the larger the swing towards Trump during the recent USA elections (the best postdictor of the...

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