For a group that has helped change the way economics is taught at universities up and down Britain, the Post-Crash Economics Society had a less than momentous start. It was November 2012 when seven undergraduates met in a cramped room on the top floor of Manchester university’s student union. Chairs drawn into a semi-circle, they listened as the two founding members went through a brief PowerPoint presentation explaining what they thought was wrong with the economics curriculum. A polite...
Read More »Restaurant Performance Index, Bank loans
Big move down into contraction as the trend continues:This downtrend is intact as well: Flattened out as oil capex collapsed, and well below levels of prior cycl:
Read More »Personal income and spending, ISM Chicago, Consumer sentiment, Atlanta Fed GDP forecast
The consumer isn’t ‘coming back’ until after deficit spending, public or private, increases to offset unspent income, and ‘putting money into savings’ (below) is better described as ‘increasing borrowing less’. Also, consumption spending includes health care premiums and utility bills, and when they go up it tends to later take away from spending on other things: Highlights August was a soft month for the consumer, both for income and especially for spending. Income rose only...
Read More »Links. Females and values edition.
Stamps are money. And as such often adorned with the heads of presidents. A sign of the times: nowadays also with the heads of super models (Anton Corbijn meets Doutzen Kroes edition, both live up to their reputation). The core neoliberal value: companies and markets first, families second. Which explains the absence of involuntary unemployment from neoclassical macro models. But this value is also bad for the health of young children The core free choice value of western society (maybe...
Read More »issue no. 76 of the Real-World Economics Review
download the whole issue Negative interest rates or 100% reserves: alchemy vs chemistry 2Herman Daly download pdf Why negative interest rate policy is ineffective and dangerous 5Thomas I. Palley download pdf Japan’s liquidity trap 15Tanweer Akram download pdf Paul Romer’s assault on ‘post-real’ macroeconomics 43Lars Pålsson Syll download pdf ...
Read More »Economists keep getting it wrong because the media coverup their mistakes
from Dean Baker Most workers suffer serious consequences when they mess up on their jobs. Custodians get fired if the toilet is not clean. Dishwashers lose their job when they break too many dishes, but not all workers are held accountable for the quality of their work. At the top of the list of people who need not be competent to keep their job are economists. Unlike workers in most occupations, when large groups of economists mess up they can count on the media covering up their...
Read More »Pending home sales, Auto sales, Wholesale trade
Still on the downward glide path since the collapse in oil capex: Highlights Existing home sales, in sharp contrast to new home sales, haven’t been able to build any strength this year and today’s pending home sales report points to outright weakness in the coming months. The pending index fell a very steep 2.4 percent in August with 3 of 4 regions positing monthly declines. The exception is the Northeast which rose 1.3 percent in the month and is the only region in the plus...
Read More »Harvard’s incorrectly political ignorant gay-bashing bloviating right-wing infotainment war-crimes-apologist historian finally gets one right
from David Ruccio source Niall Ferguson, Harvard’s incorrectly political ignorant gay-bashing bloviating right-wing infotainment war-crimes-apologist historian, finally gets something right. In explaining the “fight isn’t going as planned” for Hillary Clinton, Ferguson writes: Last week, Clinton’s supporters seized on new economic data from the Census Bureau showing that median household income rose by more than 5 percent in real terms last year. Poverty is down. So is the number of...
Read More »Richard Koo’s “Three stages of economic maturation and globalization”
Durable goods orders, Trucking tonnage index
Continues in contraction year over year, and revisions likely to cause further downward GDP revisions: Highlights The headline, at a monthly zero percent, is flat and so are the indications from the bulk of the August durable goods report. Excluding transportation, orders slipped 0.4 percent. This reading excludes a 22 percent downswing in civilian aircraft orders that is offset in part, however, by a solid 0.7 percent gain for vehicle orders. Readings on core capital goods...
Read More »