The same as David, I have heard good things about this book. I am also old enough to remember some of the news of the turmoil in Zimbabwe. Book Review: When a Crocodile Eats the Sun, The one-handed economist, David Zetland A white woman in South Africa suggested that I read this 2006 book by Peter Godwin, and I am glad that she did. I mention the color of her skin because skin matters in this memoir of how Zimbabwe fell apart in the...
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The Keynes-Ramsey-Savage debate on probability
Mainstream economics nowadays usually assumes that agents that have to make choices under conditions of uncertainty behave according to Bayesian rules, axiomatized by Ramsey (1931) and Savage (1954) — that is, they maximize expected utility for some subjective probability measure that is continually updated according to Bayes theorem. If not, they are supposed to be irrational, and ultimately — via some “Dutch book” or “money pump” argument — susceptible to being ruined by...
Read More »Looking at 2022 Healthcare Costs and Two Forecasts
I am attempting to present a simple way to portray the costs of healthcare in the US. Using pie charts, a bar chart, and a graph gets the measures of cost across and at the same time presents different discussion points. Merrill Goozner presents the same data as did Peterson and draws a different conclusion. Healthcare costs do not appear to be outstripping economic growth. The issue still remains that we can manage our healthcare costs in a more...
Read More »(Not) Thinking About Money
(Not) Thinking About Money, Wealth Economics, Steve Roth (substack.com) It’s tempting to abolish the word entirely. Reprint from Wealth Economics. J.W. Mason offers a bang-up post on economists’ thinking about “money,” how economists have thought and talked about it over decades and centuries. There’s even a class syllabus and reading list from his class for his John Jay MA econ students. It’s a very deep dive. (“Thirteen Ways of Looking at...
Read More »Fed meeting concludes tomorrow. What to expect.
Volatility for one, and rate cuts are not what you think.
Read More »Repeat home sale prices continue rebound; rents continue decline
Repeat home sale prices continue rebound; rents continue decline – by New Deal democrat Since the Fed started raising interest rates almost two years ago, homebuilding has shifted away from single family houses to condos and apartments, the construction of which has made repeated all-time highs. This has become reflected in house price vs. apartment rental indices. Starting with apartment rents, according to the Apartment List National...
Read More »Credit Expansion’s Impact on Economy
Credit Expansion's Impact on Economy
Read More »Tuesday afternoon
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Read More »The Destructive Growth of Debt
The Destructive Growth of Debt
Read More »Wishful thinking
It’s wishful thinking to think it’s being driven by wishful thinking…The EU's idea of the reform of the fiscal framework is unworkable in practice. It will lead to recession and crises and higher public deficits and debts. Instead of building the reform on hard science (incl. accounting & empirical observation), it is driven by wishful thinking.— Dirk Ehnts (@DEhnts) January 30, 2024 It’s being driven by a type of academic practice that doesn’t exist in the “hard sciences “…...
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