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India’s Inclusion in the JP Morgan GBI-EM (bond) Indices
A Path to Eden or Just Another Sin?Güney Düzçay and T. Sabri ÖncüThis article first appeared in the 24 November 2023 issue of the Indian journal, Economic and Political Weekly.IntroductionThe concept of “original sin” was introduced by Eichengreen and Hausmann (1999), defining it as “a situation in which the domestic currency cannot be used to borrow abroad or to borrow long term, even domestically.” Subsequently, Eichengreen et al. (2003) redefined the concept as a country’s inability to...
Read More »India’s Inclusion in the JP Morgan GBI-EM (bond) Indices
A Path to Eden or Just Another Sin?Güney Düzçay and T. Sabri ÖncüThis article first appeared in the 24 November 2023 issue of the Indian journal, Economic and Political Weekly.IntroductionThe concept of “original sin” was introduced by Eichengreen and Hausmann (1999), defining it as “a situation in which the domestic currency cannot be used to borrow abroad or to borrow long term, even domestically.” Subsequently, Eichengreen et al. (2003) redefined the concept as a country’s inability to...
Read More »India’s Inclusion in the JP Morgan GBI-EM (bond) Indices
A Path to Eden or Just Another Sin? Güney Düzçay and T. Sabri Öncü This article first appeared in the 24 November 2023 issue of the Indian journal, Economic and Political Weekly. Introduction The concept of “original sin” was introduced by Eichengreen and Hausmann (1999), defining it as “a situation in which the domestic currency cannot be used to borrow abroad or to borrow long term, even domestically.” Subsequently, Eichengreen et al. (2003) redefined the concept as a country’s inability...
Read More »Warning to Democrats: you stab Biden in the back?
Warning by Ten Bears from Homeless on the High Desert. I can understand Ten Bears anger with other Democrats who appear to be wavering over Biden. What happened in 2016 was Democrats not coming together in support of Clinton. Bloomberg “If you fear that Biden may not be up to the task of safeguarding democracy next November, you need do only one thing to supplant him as the Democratic nominee: then Run.” Ten Bears like myself has no problem...
Read More »A big increase holds up construction spending in October; and construction spending is holding up the economy
On a YoY basis manufacturing is the star of the show. But note from the historical graph that residential construction previously has turned down first, with manufacturing and other non-residential construction lagging (likely because of long lead times and the extended duration of completing projects). A big increase holds up construction spending in October; and construction spending is holding up the economy – by New Deal democrat...
Read More »You keep using that word . . .
In the film, “The Princess Bride,” Wally Shawn repeatedly exclaims “inconceivable.” Finally, Mandy Patinkin (as Inigo Montoya) replies: “You keep using that word. I do not think it means what you think it means.”Whenever GOP politicians announce their belief that the age for Social Security and Medicare Benefits should be raised, the mainstream media report this as “reform.” I saw this most recently in a CNN headline “Nikki Haley wants to reform...
Read More »Two charts in Australia’s 2023 climate statement show we are way off track for net zero by 2050
My latest, published in The Conversation and on my Substack Share this:Like this:Like Loading...
Read More »Seeing the frowns on the jugglers and the clowns
It is a problem that has vexed and eluded Marxists -- and tantalized critics of Marx -- for a century and a half. If I am correct, Karl Marx had an intuition of the argument I am about to present but he couldn't quite bring himself to articulate it. A bit over a century later, in "Proletariat and Middle Class in Marx: Hegelian Choreography and the Capitalist Dialectic." Martin Nicolaus almost got it or may have gotten it but couldn't put it into words. The question is usually framed in terms...
Read More »Fiscal flows are on nitro.
Flows are so strong mid December correction could be shallow.
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