Does Martin Wolf make a sophmore error in thinking that saving causes investment? It appears so.The Radford Free PressWolf Knows Better. I know He DoesPeter Radford
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Economics as religion
from Lars Syll Contrary to the tenets of orthodox economists, contemporary research suggests that, rather than seeking always to maximise our personal gain, humans still remain reasonably altruistic and selfless. Nor is it clear that the endless accumulation of wealth always makes us happier. And when we do make decisions, especially those to do with matters of principle, we seem not to engage in the sort of rational “utility-maximizing” calculus that orthodox economic models take as a...
Read More »Econometric fictionalism
If you can’t devise an experiment that answers your question in a world where anything goes, then the odds of generating useful results with a modest budget and nonexperimental survey data seem pretty slim. The description of an ideal experiment also helps you formulate causal questions precisely. The mechanics of an ideal experiment highlight the forces you’d like to manipulate and the factors you’d like to hold constant. Research questions that cannot be answered by any...
Read More »The Wordy Shipmates
For awhile, my favorite radio show was This American Life. And one of my favorite voices on the show was Sarah Vowell. Her nasal, girlish tone belied a sophisticated intelligence and wicked sense of humor.I recently read “The wordy shipmates” by Sarah Vowell. It’s basically her idiosyncratic take on the Puritans who colonized Massachusetts at Plymouth and Massachusetts Bay. While they were escaping England because of religious persecution, the...
Read More »$3 beers
B-dubs advertising a $3 beer for happy hour 4-7.. I believe this may be a 22oz draft … maybe only a 16.. … whichever I haven’t seen this type of price in quite a while…
Read More »Farm Prices
Mom & Pop meat store over on the eastern shore:These prices aren’t too bad… $35 for 40lb leg segments… right now the closer you can get to the farm gate the better the prices…Middle men getting excess margin right now… won’t last…
Read More »Consumption leads jobs: a comprehensive update
Consumption leads jobs: a comprehensive update – by New Deal democrat Yesterday I encountered a post on Seeking Alpha from the chief economist for a major trading platform, who probably makes in a week the amount I pocket in an entire year from my writing, who wrote: “if one loses one’s job, one likely spends less. If one witnesses colleagues lose their jobs, one may cut back on spending. If extended family members lose their jobs,...
Read More »Norfolk Southern, are they for real? (Are we for real?)
The recent train derailment in Ohio of a Norfolk Southern train has me thinking. As this accident relates to our social order, there is just so many paths, perspectives and questions one can dive into. I almost could not decide what direction to address it all from. We have the capitalism/free market angle. Is this disaster an example of market failure? Is this government failure? Does this disprove the “too much government” argument? You know,...
Read More »The long leading forecast through year end 2023
The long leading forecast through year end 2023 at Seeking Alpha – by New Deal democrat Normally in late January I update my top-line long leading forecast for the entire year. A little late this year, it is now up at Seeking Alpha. If you follow my updates on the leading indicators, the result isn’t very surprising. The twist is that recessions are almost always much shorter than expansions, so the long leading indicators turn up on a...
Read More »RBA appeal to NAIRU authority is a fraud — Bill Mitchell
The mainstream press is now seeing through the Reserve Bank of Australia’s behaviour, which I take as a sign of progress. For example, there was an article on the ABC News Site yesterday – Reserve Bank accused of ‘economic gaslighting’ as wages growth misses forecasts, again. I noted yesterday that the latest evidence contradicts the RBA’s claims that wages are growing too fast and provide it with a rationale for further interest rate increases, despite the inflation rate falling over the...
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