Initial claims still very positive, especially YoY – by New Deal democrat Before I get to this morning’s personal income and spending report, let’s get the latest weekly update to jobless claims out of the way. New jobless claims rose 13,000 to 215,000, while the four-week moving average declined -3,000 to 212,500. Continuing claims, contrarily, rose 45,000 to 1.905 million, their second highest reading in over 2 years (but remains...
Read More »Stand your ground
When we moved to Missouri in 1982, it was a purple state. In the last decade, it has become progressively more extreme right-wing. Now, in Missouri and more than 30 other states, each citizen is their own well regulated militia with the powers of judge, jury and executioner. Law-abiding citizens become collateral damage with no consequences. Sad.“The man accused of firing the first shots at the Kansas City Chiefs Super Bowl rally told authorities he...
Read More »Open Thread February 29 2024 “The Republican Party is dying as Trump and his supporters take it over . . .”
February 28, 2024, Letters from an American, Prof. Heather Cox Richardson Past Open Thread February 21 2024 Is Late Economic Reporting the Cause of Bad Perceptions as New Deal democrat says? Angry Bear. Tags: Leap Year
Read More »The state of freight
The state of freight – by New Deal democrat There’s no significant economic news today. Yesterday we did get durable goods orders, which are an official leading indicator. I don’t pay too much attention to them, because they are so volatile. Thus yesterday’s big -6.1% decline (blue in the graph below) is more likely than not just noise, particularly because “core” capital goods orders (red) increased 0.1%, and have been generally tending...
Read More »Michigan awards GM $1bn in incentives for new electric cars
Michigan has always been in the hunt for new model manufacturing in Michigan. This one pitched by Michigan to GM is nothing new. Just another state buying a company by funding its stay. I can find my records on this, Michigan owes $billions to corporate Michigan. This all started with Governor Engler. Companies are used to it, so now they expect to get it. Read on . . . Automakers’ history of taking fat subsidies and overpromising job growth make...
Read More »City mouse, country mouse
Over at jabberwocking.com, Kevin Drum takes on Paul Krugman over his assertion that small-town America is aggrieved because the working-age men are more likely to be unemployed than their metropolitan counterparts. As usual, Kevin brings the charts and numbers to show that while Krugman isn’t wrong, the differences are small and don’t explain “white rural rage.” Kevin notes that while pay is less in rural areas, the difference is mostly compensated...
Read More »New home sales and YoY prices change little; expect sideways trend to follow similar recent trend in mortgage rates
New home sales and YoY prices change little; expect sideways trend to follow similar recent trend in mortgage rates – by New Deal democrat This week we conclude January’s housing market data with repeat sales prices tomorrow, and new single family home sales, which were reported this morning. Per my usual caveat, while new home sales is that they are the most leading of the housing metrics, they are noisy and heavily revised. Which was the...
Read More »Some Articles for Sunday and Easy Reading
I know the first article is readily accessible to read if you have no membership. I believe the other two articles are open reading also. If not let me know. I can access them. Ukraine is waiting for US aid. Prof. Heather looks at how we find ourselves at this point. A point of abandoning of a country willing to fight. February 23, 2024 – Letters from an American– Heather Cox Richardson; Two years ago today, Ukraine president Volodymyr...
Read More »Chasing the mosquito man’s truck
Remember chasing the mosquito man’s truck? silive.com, Cassy Sommer During the fifties and sixties, it was not unusual to see trucks spraying DDT near heavily wooded and swampy areas. I certainly do not recall kids running behind truck spraying the areas. Some claim this was a common practice. My aunts and mom would have had a fit is we did such. ~~~~~~~~ The U.S. Department of Agriculture was the federal agency with responsibility for...
Read More »The bottoming process in existing home sales continues, as YoY price comparisons increase
The bottoming process in existing home sales continues, as YoY price comparisons increase – by New Deal democrat The bifurcation of the housing market between new and existing home components continues, as existing home sales continue near their bottom, but with a little improvement. Specifically, in January sales increased 120,000 on an annualized basis from an upwardly revised (by 80,000) 3.88 million to 4.00 million. This is the seventh...
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