We have been needing more people, people of some importance, to say something about the economy besides how bad it is. Mind you, no matter how good the recovery is; the negatives will still flow from the other side of the room. If you have been reading New Deal democrat’s commentary at Angry Bear each day, you already have a pretty good idea of where we will land. NDd: “Real retails sales stopped deteriorating YoY last spring, and have been more...
Read More »Sales lead employment: real aggregate payrolls update
Sales lead employment: real aggregate payrolls update – by New Deal democrat The drought in new data ends tomorrow with consumer inflation. In preparation, let’s take a look at real aggregate payrolls. These increased 0.2% in December, one of the lower readings in the past 2 years: On a YoY basis, aggregate nonsupervisory payrolls increased 5.8%, compared with consumer inflation in November, which increased 3.1%: Recall that...
Read More »The Great Resignation About Quitting, Burnout, or a Mass Exodus?
Some light reading. I subscribe to it (The Atlantic) and have done so since the Civil War for a decade. Thought I would post one from The Atlantic’s News Letter (I think). Just an interesting read about something they discovered happening or maybe not-happening. People locked into something they do not like, have to stay, and when the opportunity arises, they leave. Especially if there is money to be made or less time at work or less work. What if...
Read More »Housing Expenditures Impact on Social Security Beneficiaries, 2005 – 2018
I was looking for a report through 2022 on housing. This was the best I could do. Maybe later? The report is about households with or without SS beneficiaries who are renting, homeowners with mortgages, and homeowners without mortgages. The study is looking at the cost impact in each category for those households with SS beneficiaries as compared to those households with no beneficiaries. Kind of dry; but, it gets the point across. Research...
Read More »Scenes from the jobs report 2: unemployment rate and consumption: weak, but not recessionary
Scenes from the jobs report 2: the unemployment rate and consumption: weak, but not recessionary – by New Deal democrat Yesterday I looked at some employment metrics from Friday’s jobs report. Today let’s look at un- (and under-) employment. Every Thursday I repeat the mantra that jobless claims lead the unemployment rate. Here are both the U3 (blue) and U6 (red) rates from Friday’s report, compared YoY: The unemployment rate is...
Read More »Scenes from the leading sectors of the December jobs report: sectors of weakness and strength
Scenes from the leading sectors of the December jobs report: sectors of weakness and strength – by New Deal democrat For nearly two decades, my focus on economic reporting online has been finding and examining leading indicators; those datapoints that tell us where the economy in general, and in particular jobs and income for ordinary Americans, are heading in the near future. Usually that has meant batting away DOOOOMers; those people who...
Read More »Being grateful for one big thing Baby boomers did Part II
Part Two of Being grateful for one big thing Baby Boomers did. Part I can be found here as written by Andy Kiersz. Gen Z, Millennials Should Stop Complaining About Baby Boomers, Economy, business insider, Andy Kiersz Excellent Charting done by the author Andy Kiersz. Detail taken from the Census Bureau, BLS, Penn World Tables, Federal Reserve Survey of Consumer Finances, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, and World Inequality Database....
Read More »New Deal democrats Weekly Indicators for January 1 – 5
Weekly Indicators for January 1 – 5 at Seeking Alpha – by New Deal democrat I forgot to post this over the weekend, so here it is now: my Weekly Indicators post up at Seeking Alpha. I’ll put a post up later taking a detailed look at some aspects of Friday’s employment report. Tags: 2024, Weekly Indicators for January 1 - 5...
Read More »Medicaid Coverage in Metro and Small Town/Rural Counties, 2020-2021
Medicaid’s Coverage Role in Small Towns and Rural Areas – Center For Children and Families (georgetown.edu) First time, I have done an interactive chart. I have to figure out how to enlarge the chart. I will figure it out in time. Enjoy for now and maybe you can find where you live on the small map. If you go to Georgetown Center for Children and Families site, you will get a better map perspective. As the title says this is for Metro, towns,...
Read More »Actually, Only Banks Print Money
Asymptosis » Actually, Only Banks Print Money, Steve Roth I’m thinking this headline will raise some eyebrows in the MMT community. But it’s not really so radical. It’s just using the word money very carefully, as defined here. Starting with the big picture: You can compare the magnitude of these asset-creation mechanisms here. (Hint: cap gains rule.) The key concept: “money” here just means a particular type of financial instrument,...
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