Real-World Economics Review

from Dean Baker We have seen a lot of hyperventilating in political circles over Donald Trump’s recently proposed tariffs on steel and aluminum. While these do not seem like well-considered policies, and are likely to do more harm than good even from the narrow standpoint of increasing manufacturing employment, they are not by themselves the horror story being presented. Steel prices often fluctuate by 20 or 30 percent over the course of a year, as they did in 2016. If tariffs raise the...

from Lars Syll But these more recent writers like their predecessors were still dealing with a system in which the amount of the factors employed was given and the other relevant facts were known more or less for certain. This does not mean that they were dealing with a system in which change was ruled out, or even one in which the disappointment of expectation was ruled out. But at any given time facts and expectations were assumed to be given in a definite and calculable form; and...

from Dean Baker I would agree with pretty much all of Paul Krugman’s criticisms of Donald Trump’s trade war with China, but I would strongly disagree with one of his criticisms of China. He tells readers: “In some ways, China really is a bad actor in the global economy. In particular, it has pretty much thumbed its nose at international rules on intellectual property rights, grabbing foreign technology without proper payment.” The issue here is who set the rules and what is proper...

from David Ruccio 50 years ago, Martin Luther King Jr. was assassinated, just days after joining a march of thousands of African-American protestors down Beale Street, one of the major commercial thoroughfares in Memphis, Tennessee. King and the other marchers were demonstrating their support for 1300 striking sanitation workers, many of whom held placards that proclaimed, “Union Justice Now!” and “I Am a Man.”  The night before his assassination, King told the striking sanitation...

from Lars Syll The efficient market hypothesis — EMH — argues there is no free lunch and prices are ‘right.’ Well, as we all know, that is not true. Noise does influence asset prices and the law of one price is blatantly violated again and again. Of course, THERE ARE IDIOTS, as Larry Summers once (in)famously put it. When visiting Chicago, look around … The price is often wrong, and sometimes very wrong … If policy-makers simply take it as a matter of faith that prices are always right,...

from Peter Radford There’s a bold rolling down the hill. We are watching it carefully. It is accelerating. It is enormous. It will mow us down. Lives will be lost. Or at least livelihoods will be lost. People will suffer. The boulder is terrifying. But, hey, let’s keep watching. That’s about the attitude of the people who keep on talking about the imminent tsunami of automation, AI, and other so-called disruptive technologies. Let’s keep watching because it’s bad — really, really, bad....

00:16 Why Dean is moderately optimistic on the economy 02:28 Will the minimum wage go up? And will it matter? 09:11 The forces behind wage stagnation 12:21 We import Chinese goods, why not import Indian doctors? 14:41 Dean: More education for workers isn't the (only) answer Glenn Loury (Brown University) and Dean Baker (Center for Economic and Policy Research, Beat the Press) Join the conversation on Bloggingheads.tv: http://bloggingheads.tv/videos/32066 Recorded on November 12, 2014...

00:46 Dean doesn't foresee a double-dip recession 03:36 Could Europe's debt crisis lead to a new financial meltdown? 11:53 Work-sharing as a way to cut unemployment 29:51 Brink: Bernanke is abdicating his responsibility 41:41 GOP inflation phobia and Obama's monetary failure 49:16 Heart surgery in Thailand as a cure for Medicare Dean Baker (Center for Economic and Policy Research, Beat the Press) and Brink Lindsey (Cato Institute, The Captured Economy) Join the conversation on...

05:12 Dean's own-to-rent plan, and why it's not catching on 14:39 The MSM's crisis of accountability 19:54 Dean's deal: government payments for no patents 37:53 Does Obama really oppose a single-payer system? 44:16 Aaron frets over Obama's tenuous liberalism, massive power 53:20 Tell us: how does one beat the press? Aaron Swartz (AaronSW.com, Watchdog.Net, Open Library) and Dean Baker (Center for Economic and Policy Research, Beat the Press) Join the conversation on Bloggingheads.tv:...

from Dean Baker Donald Trump has proved the skeptics wrong, it seems that the American people stand to be big winners as a result of his trade war. The Chinese government announced a major initiative to promote the manufacture and use of generic drugs. The reason this is potentially a big deal for the United States is that it could mean that China intends to push the envelope in replacing drugs protected by government-granted patent monopolies with drugs sold at free market prices. While...