Edward Harrison: Credit Writedowns

By Marc Chandler (this post originally appeared at Marc to Market) Did US Treasury Secretary Mnuchin signal a change in the US dollar policy?  Probably not. As Mnuchin and President Trump have done before, a distinction was drawn between short- and longer-term perspectives.  In the short-term, a weaker dollar says Mnuchin, is good for US trade and “other opportunities”.  In the longer-term, Mnuchin explicitly acknowledged, “the strength of the dollar is a reflection of the strength of...

By Marshall Auerback (This post was first published on Alternet) Is the bitcoin craze another in a series of history’s most infamous bubbles, or is it a genuine harbinger of a new global financial architecture? In spite of recent market turbulence, its champions see bitcoin (and its cryptocurrency peers) as an ideal market-generated solution as questions arise about the future viability of...

By Marc Chandler (originally published at Marc to Market) The US Treasury International Capital report for the month of November 2017 was released yesterday.  It showed that the two largest foreign holders of US Treasuries, China and Japan, were net sellers.  China sold about $12.6 bln and Japan sold about $9 bln of US Treasuries.  Foreign investors sold $6.4 bln of Treasuries, meaning that...

By Marc Chandler (this post first appeared on Marc to Market) There is nothing quite like a falling dollar to spur take of the erosion of the greenback’s reserve status.  There has been talk for several months that China is preparing in yuan-denominated oil contract (with an embedded gold option).  It has not been launched yet, but some observers see it as a blow to the dollar’s role. We are...

By Marc Chandler (originally posted at Marc to Market) The investment climate is being shaped by two powerful forces.  First is the very accommodative policy stance. This includes the United States, where despite delivering the fifth rate hike in the cycle, adjusted by headline CPI, remains negative. As the balance sheet has begun being reduced, financial conditions in the US are easier now...

By Marc Chandler (originally published at Marc to Market) Germany does not have a government, though the election was more than three months ago.  Spain, Portugal, and Ireland have minority government.  Austria is the first government since the financial crisis to include the populist right.  The EU is trying to press Visegrad group of central European countries to conform to the values of...

Originally published on 17 October 2017 at Vox By Federica Liberini, Andrew Oswald, Eugenio Proto, Michela Redoano There is a very wide debate on the determinants of the vote by British citizens to leave the EU. In particular, the idea that this vote reflects discontent and disillusionment has been widely discussed in the UK and European media. Furthermore, large numbers of newspaper and TV...

In-depth analysis on Credit Writedowns Pro. You are here: Financial Institutions » Low interest rates and banks’ net interest margins By Stijn Claessens, Nicholas Coleman, Michael Donnelly, 18 May 2016 This post was first published at Vox Since the Global Crisis, interest rates in many advanced economies have been low and, in many cases, are expected to remain low for some time. Low interest rates help economies recover and can enhance banks’ balance sheets and...

In-depth analysis on Credit Writedowns Pro. You are here: Weekly » The titillating and terrifying collapse of the dollar. Again. This post was originally published at China Financial Markets. By Michael Pettis Foreign perceptions about the Chinese economy are far more volatile than the economy itself, and are spread across a fantastic array of forecasts. On one extreme there are still many who hold the view that overwhelmingly dominated the consensus just four...

In-depth analysis on Credit Writedowns Pro. You are here: Political Economy » The Importance of China’s New VAT By Marc Chandler Yesterday, China announced one of the most important tax reforms of the past twenty years.  It is replacing a business tax on gross revenue for non-manufacturing companies with a VAT.   Manufacturing companies have been subject to a VAT approach for a few years.  The reform extends it from manufacturing and a few services in a pilot...